MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles 7/26
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 26, 2024, 8:27:46 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles 7/26/2025
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The San Diego Padres, riding a five-game win streak, are set to take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore on Friday, July 26, 2025, at 7:05 p.m. EDT. The Padres, currently second in the NL West with a 55-50 record, will face the AL East-leading Orioles, who boast a 61-41 record. The Orioles have a strong home record of 30-22 and lead the AL with 160 total home runs, averaging 1.6 per game. On the other hand, the Padres have been impressive on the road with a 29-22 record and are 40-5 in games where they've scored at least five runs.
This game marks the first meeting of the season between the two teams. The Orioles have experienced a slight dip in form, going 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .234 batting average and a 4.81 ERA. The Padres, however, have been on a roll with a 6-4 record over their last 10 games, batting .261 and maintaining a stellar 2.43 ERA.
Top performers for the Orioles include Gunnar Henderson, who leads the team with a .284 batting average and has 19 doubles, five triples, and 28 home runs. Anthony Santander has been hot lately, going 14-for-41 with five home runs and 10 RBI over the past 10 games. The Padres' offense is powered by Jurickson Profar, who ranks second on the team with 33 extra-base hits, including 17 doubles and 16 home runs. Kyle Higashioka has also been productive, hitting 10-for-32 with two doubles, three home runs, and 10 RBI in the last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles (Over 0.5): +420
- Batter Hits (Over 0.5): -195
- Batter Home Runs (Over 0.5): +480
- Batter RBIs (Over 0.5): +140
- Batter Runs Scored (Over 0.5): -140
- Batter Singles (Over 0.5): -105
- Batter Total Bases (Over 1.5): +135
Player Analysis
Colton Cowser has been a dynamic player for the Orioles this season. He's shown the ability to hit for both average and power, making him a versatile threat in the lineup. Although Cowser's overall batting average stands at .253, his recent performances suggest he's heating up at the right time. Over his last 10 games, Cowser has been particularly effective in driving in runs and getting on base, contributing significantly to the Orioles' offensive output. His ability to hit doubles and home runs also adds value to his player prop bets.
For bettors, Cowser's recent form indicates a favorable opportunity to cash in on his prop bets. His odds for hitting over 0.5 doubles stand at +420, making this a high-reward option. Similarly, his odds for hitting a home run over 0.5 are at +480, which could be a lucrative bet given his power-hitting capabilities.
Opposing Analysis
Adam Mazur will be taking the mound for the Padres. Mazur has struggled this season, holding a 7.84 ERA and a 1-3 record over 31 innings pitched. He has allowed 38 hits and 19 walks, leading to a high WHIP of 1.84. These numbers suggest that Mazur has had difficulty keeping runners off base and has been prone to giving up big hits.
This sets up a favorable matchup for Cowser, who can exploit Mazur's weaknesses. The Padres' bullpen has been decent, but if Cowser can get to Mazur early, he will have a good chance to pad his stats and hit the over on several of his prop bets.
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Mazur (SD) | 1-3 | 7.84 | 21 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 12-4 | 3.83 | 120 |
Team Previews
San Diego Padres
The Padres have been solid this season, with an overall record of 55-50. They rank 6th in hits (891), 4th in runs (506), and 7th in batting average (.253). Their pitching has also been strong, with a team ERA of 3.73, which ranks 7th in the league. However, their fielding has been less stellar, with 46 errors, placing them 25th in that category.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles lead the league in hits (934) and batting average (.262), showcasing their offensive prowess. They have a balanced attack, ranking 12th in runs (476) and displaying good power with 160 home runs. Their pitching has been steady, with a team ERA of 4.03, ranking 18th. The Orioles' fielding is solid as well, with 50 errors, placing them 20th.
Team Injuries
San Diego Padres
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | RP | 15-Day IL (adductor) |
| Joe Musgrove | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | SS | 10-Day IL (quadricep) |
| Luis Patino | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Baltimore Orioles
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | 10-Day IL (elbow) |
| Albert Suarez | RP | day-to-day (shin) |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | 60-Day IL (UCL sprain) |
| Tyler Wells | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| John Means | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Felix Bautista | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
San Diego Padres
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cleveland | 7-0 | L |
| @ Cleveland | 7-0 | W |
| @ Cleveland | 2-1 | W |
| @ Washington | 4-0 | W |
| @ Washington | 12-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-3 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits (-195)
Given Adam Mazur's struggles on the mound and Colton Cowser's recent form, the over on 0.5 hits for Cowser seems like a solid bet. Cowser has been hitting well recently and should have plenty of opportunities to get on base against a pitcher with a high ERA and WHIP. The odds of -195 reflect the likelihood of this outcome, making it a safe and smart bet for tonight's game.
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