MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:19:10 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
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Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 28th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The game promises to be an exciting matchup, featuring two teams with contrasting strengths. The Pirates come into this game with a record of 55-50, while the Diamondbacks stand at 52-52. Both teams have had their share of ups and downs this season, making this game crucial for their playoff aspirations.
The Pirates have been solid offensively, ranking 8th in hits with 888 and 3rd in runs with 513. They will rely heavily on their batting lineup to outscore the Diamondbacks. On the flip side, the Diamondbacks have a solid pitching staff with an ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. This clash between a powerful offense and a stingy defense sets the stage for a thrilling encounter.
In their recent matchups, the Pirates have won 3 out of their last 5 games, while the Diamondbacks have emerged victorious in 4 out of their last 5. Historically, these teams have had competitive games, and this one is expected to follow the same trend.
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Player Prop Odds
Joc Pederson Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360.0), Under 0.5 (-600.0)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-195.0), Under 0.5 (+140.0)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+425.0), Under 0.5 (-750.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160.0), Under 0.5 (-225.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115.0), Under 0.5 (-160.0)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+125.0), Under 0.5 (-170.0)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135.0), Under 1.5 (-185.0)
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Player Analysis
Joc Pederson has been a key player for the San Francisco Giants this season. Although known for his power-hitting, Pederson has shown versatility in his batting approach. He has a batting average of .252, with 16 home runs and 52 RBIs. Pederson's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset to the Giants' lineup.
In his last 10 games, Pederson has recorded 10 hits, including 2 home runs and 7 RBIs. His recent form indicates that he is seeing the ball well and making consistent contact. This bodes well for his chances of exceeding the 0.5 hits and 1.5 total bases props.
Opposing Analysis
Pederson will be facing the pitching of Yilber Diaz, who has had a challenging season. Diaz has an ERA of 5.40 and has allowed 17 hits in 15 innings pitched. His struggles with control and tendency to give up hits make him a vulnerable target for a hitter of Pederson's caliber.
Additionally, the Diamondbacks bullpen has an ERA of 3.78, which is respectable but not overpowering. This gives Pederson opportunities to capitalize on the weaknesses of the pitching staff throughout the game.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 108 |
| Yilber Diaz (PIT) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 7 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have shown a solid offensive performance this season, ranking 8th in hits and 3rd in runs. Their batting average of .253 is among the top 10 in the league. Their key players include Oneil Cruz, who leads the team with a .252 batting average, and Christian Walker, who has 23 home runs and 71 RBIs.
On the pitching side, the Pirates have struggled with an ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league. Their bullpen has been inconsistent, which has cost them a few games. However, their defense has been sharp, committing only 42 errors.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have a balanced team with strengths in both pitching and hitting. They rank 11th in ERA with a 3.78 and have a solid bullpen. Offensively, they have been less impressive, ranking 26th in hits and 23rd in runs. Their batting average stands at .232, which is among the lower ranks in the league.
Key players for the Diamondbacks include Ketel Marte, who leads the team with a .296 batting average, and Christian Walker, who has driven in 52 runs. Their defense has been average, committing 50 errors this season.
Team Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Probable |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Probable |
| Jared Jones | SP | Out until Aug 8 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Out until Aug 16 |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | 2-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | 1-2 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | 5-2 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | 3-0 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | 1-2 F/10 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | 4-10 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | 6-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given the current form of Joc Pederson and the struggles of Yilber Diaz, it is likely that Pederson will have a productive day at the plate. The odds for Pederson to record over 0.5 hits at -195.0 and over 1.5 total bases at +135.0 are favorable. Considering Diaz's tendency to give up hits and Pederson's ability to capitalize on such opportunities, these props are worth considering.
Pick: Joc Pederson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135.0)
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