MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets 7/29
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MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets 7/29

```html MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets 7/29

MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets 7/29

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Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Minnesota Twins (58-46, second in the AL Central) will visit the New York Mets (55-50, third in the NL East) to kick off a three-game series at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled for Monday at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Mets enter this matchup with a 28-28 record at home and 55-50 overall. Remarkably, they possess a 43-12 record in games where they have outhit their opponents.

On the other hand, the Twins have a 29-25 record on the road and are 58-46 overall. They have hit 125 home runs this season, ranking fifth in the American League. This will be the first meeting between the two teams this season.

Top performers for the Mets include Francisco Lindor, who leads the team with 22 home runs and a .474 slugging percentage. Jeff McNeil has been hot over the past 10 games, going 12-for-35 with four doubles, four home runs, and nine RBI. For the Twins, Carlos Santana has 34 extra-base hits, including 20 doubles and 14 home runs. Byron Buxton has also been in good form, going 13-for-43 with five doubles, three home runs, and five RBI over the last 10 games.

Both teams have been in mixed form over their last 10 games. The Mets are 6-4 with a .229 batting average and a 3.84 ERA, outscoring their opponents by three runs. The Twins are 5-5 with a .240 batting average and a 3.46 ERA, outscoring their opponents by five runs.

Key injuries for the Mets include Kodai Senga (15-Day IL, calf), Shintaro Fujinami (60-Day IL, shoulder), and several others. The Twins are also dealing with injuries to key players like Carlos Correa (10-Day IL, foot) and Chris Paddack (15-Day IL, forearm).

Player Prop Odds

Pete Alonso Player Props:

  • Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+420)
  • Batter Hits Over 0.5 (-170)
  • Batter Home Runs Over 0.5 (+420)
  • Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+145)
  • Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (-115)
  • Batter Singles Over 0.5 (+125)
  • Batter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+135)

Player Analysis

Pete Alonso has been a cornerstone for the New York Mets' offense this season. With a powerful swing and a knack for driving in runs, Alonso is a constant threat at the plate. This season, Alonso has accumulated a .265 batting average, 35 home runs, and 85 RBIs. His slugging percentage stands at an impressive .540, and he has an on-base percentage of .350.

Over the last 10 games, Alonso has been heating up, going 12-for-38 with four home runs and 10 RBIs. His ability to hit for power makes him a prime candidate for several player prop bets, including home runs, RBIs, and total bases.

Opposing Analysis

The Minnesota Twins' pitching staff will have their hands full trying to contain Alonso. The Twins are sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound. Richardson has a 3-1 record with a 3.27 ERA and 76 strikeouts. While his ERA is respectable, Richardson has given up 12 home runs in 82 innings pitched, which is something Alonso could exploit.

The Twins' bullpen has a 4.19 ERA, ranking 21st in the league, which could also be a factor late in the game. If Alonso gets opportunities against the bullpen, his chances of hitting a home run or driving in runs increase significantly.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher Team W-L ERA Strikeouts
Simeon Woods Richardson Minnesota Twins 3-1 3.27 76
Jose Quintana New York Mets 5-6 4.02 85

Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have been solid offensively, ranking 10th in the league with 895 hits and 6th with 506 runs. Their team batting average stands at .248, which is 12th in the league. The Twins' bullpen has been a weak spot, ranking 21st with a 4.19 ERA.

Defensively, the Twins have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league. This solid defensive play has helped them maintain a competitive edge in many games.

New York Mets

The Mets have a strong offensive lineup, ranking 9th in the league with 897 hits and 7th with 505 runs. Their team batting average is .253, ranking 8th in the league. The Mets' bullpen has a 4.09 ERA, ranking 20th in the league.

Defensively, the Mets have committed 50 errors, ranking 24th in the league. This could be a factor in close games and is something to watch for in this series.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Kodai Senga P 15-Day IL (calf)
Shintaro Fujinami P 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Carlos Correa SS 10-Day IL (foot)
Chris Paddack P 15-Day IL (forearm)

Recent Games

New York Mets

Opponent Score W/L
@ Miami L 6-4 L
@ Miami W 1-0 W
@ Miami L 4-2 L
@ Miami W 6-4 W
@ New York W 3-2 W

Minnesota Twins

Opponent Score W/L
vs Milwaukee L 8-4 L
vs Milwaukee L 8-7 L
vs Philadelphia W 7-2 W
vs Philadelphia L 3-0 L
vs Philadelphia W 5-4 W

Prediction

Considering Pete Alonso's current form and the vulnerabilities in the Twins' pitching staff, the best player prop bet for this game is Alonso to hit a home run at +420. His power at the plate, combined with the Twins' tendency to give up home runs, makes this a solid pick.

Pick: Pete Alonso over 0.5 Home Runs (+420)

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