MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers - 7/28

- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:10:15 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers - 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins are set to face off against the Detroit Tigers on July 28 at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. This matchup will feature two teams from the AL Central division with the Twins looking to climb up the standings and the Tigers trying to maintain their momentum.
The Twins, with a current record of 52-54, have been hanging around the middle of the pack. They have solid pitching, as evidenced by their 3.92 team ERA, but their offense has struggled at times, with a batting average of .233. Their recent form has been inconsistent, and they will be looking to capitalize on this game to get back on track.
On the other hand, the Tigers boast a record of 57-46 and have been one of the more surprising teams of the season. With a team batting average of .253 and strong performances from their pitching staff, they have managed to stay competitive in a tough division. Their recent form has been impressive, and they will look to continue their winning ways against the Twins.
Historically, these two teams have had close encounters, with many games going down to the wire. This game promises to be another intriguing battle as both teams have a lot at stake.
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Player Prop Odds
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Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+366), Under 0.5 (-629)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-199), Under 0.5 (+143)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+202), Under 0.5 (-294)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+152), Under 0.5 (-214)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-117), Under 0.5 (-117)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-199), Under 0.5 (+143)
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Player Analysis
Brooks Lee has been a key player for the Minnesota Twins, showcasing his ability to contribute in various aspects of the game. Lee has a knack for hitting doubles, accumulating a respectable number of extra-base hits this season. He also has a solid batting average and has shown the ability to drive in runs when needed.
This season, Lee has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching, which bodes well for his chances in this matchup. He has a good eye at the plate and can work counts in his favor, often resulting in base hits or walks. Lee's ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities for his team makes him a valuable asset in the Twins' lineup.
Opposing Analysis
The Detroit Tigers will have Alex Faedo on the mound, who has been impressive with a 5-1 record and a 3.47 ERA. Faedo has been effective in limiting hits and runs, making him a tough pitcher to face. However, the Twins' lineup, including Brooks Lee, will look to exploit any mistakes he makes.
Faedo's tendency to allow fly balls could play into Lee's strength of hitting doubles. If Lee can capitalize on any pitches left up in the zone, he has a good chance of driving the ball into the gaps for extra bases. The Tigers' bullpen has also had its ups and downs, so if the Twins can get to Faedo early, they may have opportunities to score later in the game.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 9-5 | 4.04 | 1.06 | 107.0 | 88 | 110 | 25 | 17 |
| Alex Faedo (DET) | 5-1 | 3.47 | 1.24 | 49.1 | 42 | 45 | 19 | 8 |
Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have had an up-and-down season, currently sitting with a 52-54 record. They have a solid pitching staff, led by Bailey Ober, who has a 4.04 ERA and 110 strikeouts over 107 innings. Their bullpen has been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.92. Offensively, they have struggled at times, with a team batting average of .233, but they have players like Brooks Lee who can make a significant impact.
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers have been one of the surprises of the season with a 57-46 record. Their pitching staff, including Alex Faedo, has been impressive with a team ERA of 4.10. Offensively, they have been solid, with a team batting average of .253. Players like Willi Castro and Carlos Santana have been crucial in driving the team's success. The Tigers will look to continue their strong form against the Twins.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. FarmerKyle Farmer | 2B | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. MizeCasey Mize | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| R. GreeneRiley Greene | LF | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games
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Minnesota Twins
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L8-4 F/12 | 54-43 | Junis 2-0 | Okert 3-1 | NaN | 41679 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L8-7 | 54-44 | Koenig 8-1 | Jax 3-4 | Megill 19 | 36327 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | W7-2 | 55-44 | Ober 9-5 | Suarez 10-5 | Sands 3 | 29904 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | L3-0 | 55-45 | Soto 2-3 | Duran 5-5 | Strahm 1 | 31272 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | W5-4 | 56-45 | Duran 6-5 | Soto 2-4 | NaN | 33813 |
Detroit Tigers
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Toronto | W5-4 | 48-50 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Toronto | W7-3 | 49-50 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Toronto | L5-4 | 49-51 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Cleveland | W8-2 | 50-51 | Skubal 11-3 | Carrasco 3-8 | NaN | 22451 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Cleveland | L5-4 | 50-52 | Smith 5-1 | Wentz 0-2 | Clase 30 | 23277 |
Prediction
Brooks Lee is poised to have a significant impact in this game. Given his success against right-handed pitching and Alex Faedo’s fly ball tendencies, the prop bet for Lee hitting Over 0.5 Doubles at +366 offers enticing value. Additionally, Lee's ability to get on base and score runs makes the Over 0.5 Runs Scored prop at +152 another appealing option.
Pick: Over 0.5 Doubles (+366)
Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+152)
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