MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:46:36 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
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Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday, July 28, 2025, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The game is scheduled to start at 2:10 p.m. EDT. The Marlins, currently holding a 39-66 record, sit fifth in the NL East, while the Brewers, with a 59-45 record, lead the NL Central. This game marks the sixth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Marlins leading the series 4-1.
Miami has been on a roll recently, boasting a three-game road winning streak. They have performed well on the road, although their overall road record stands at 17-32. The Marlins have a knack for hitting extra-base hits, with Bryan De La Cruz leading the team with 36 extra-base hits, including 18 home runs. Josh Bell is also in fine form, with five home runs and 10 RBIs in his last 10 games.
On the other side, the Brewers have a solid home record of 29-19 and are 25-6 in games where they did not give up a home run. Rhys Hoskins has been a key performer for the Brewers, with 26 extra-base hits this season. Eric Haase has also been impressive, going 7-for-16 with three home runs and seven RBIs in his last 10 games.
The Brewers have a slight edge in this matchup, given their home advantage and overall better record, but the Marlins have shown they can upset the odds, making this an exciting game to look forward to.
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Player Prop Odds
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Sal Frelick Player Props:
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+215), Under 0.5 (-310)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135), Under 0.5 (-190)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+370), Under 0.5 (-600)
Player Analysis
Sal Frelick has been a key player for the Brewers this season. In the last 10 games, Frelick has shown consistency at the plate, contributing to the team's overall offensive efforts. His ability to get on base and score runs makes him a significant threat to the opposition.
Frelick’s batting average this season is .245, and he has hit 18 home runs, leading the team in this category. His on-base percentage and slugging percentage also suggest that he has the ability to make crucial plays when needed. Given his recent form and the stakes of this game, Frelick is expected to play a pivotal role in the Brewers' offensive strategy.
Opposing Analysis
For the Marlins, Kyle Tyler will be taking the mound. Tyler has a season record of 0-1 with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.45. In 20.2 innings pitched, he has given up 20 hits and struck out 15 batters while allowing 10 walks and one home run. Given these stats, Tyler has shown vulnerabilities, especially in allowing base runners.
The Marlins' bullpen has also struggled at times, which could provide opportunities for the Brewers' hitters, including Frelick, to capitalize on any weaknesses. The Brewers' hitters have the capability to exploit these vulnerabilities, making it a challenging outing for Tyler and the Marlins' pitching staff.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIA) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have had a challenging season, reflected in their 39-66 record. However, they have shown glimpses of potential, particularly in their recent games. The Marlins' hitting lineup, led by Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell, has been performing well, with a team batting average of .275 over the last 10 games. Their pitching staff, despite some struggles, has managed a 2.97 ERA over the same period.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have been strong contenders in the NL Central, with a 59-45 record. Their home performance has been particularly impressive, with a 29-19 record at American Family Field. The Brewers' lineup, featuring key players like Rhys Hoskins and Eric Haase, has been effective in both power and consistency. Their pitching staff, led by Tobias Myers, has also been solid, contributing to their overall success this season.
Team Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser | RP | 60-Day IL (flexor) |
| Jackson Chourio | RF | day-to-day (ear) |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | 15-Day IL (oblique) |
| Rob Zastryzny | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Christian Yelich | LF | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Oliver Dunn | 2B | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Enoli Paredes | RP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| D.L. Hall | SP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Joe Ross | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| J.B. Bukauskas | SP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
| Wade Miley | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Devin Williams | RP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Brandon Woodruff | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | SP | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | RP | 60-Day IL (finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Eury Perez | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Sandy Alcantara | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | Win |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | Loss |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | Win |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | Loss |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | Win |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | Win |
| @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | Win |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | Loss |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | Win |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | Win |
Prediction
Given the recent form of both teams and the player prop odds, our pick for Sal Frelick is to go Over 0.5 Runs Scored at +135. Frelick has been consistent and given the current pitching matchups, he has a good chance to score a run in this game.
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