```html MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Twins vs Mets 10/9

MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets 10/9

Photo Credit: © Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Minnesota Twins (58-46, second in the AL Central) will visit the New York Mets (55-50, third in the NL East) to start a three-game series at Citi Field. The game is scheduled for Monday, 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Mets are coming off a challenging series against the Atlanta Braves, where they went 2-3 in their last five games, while the Twins had a mixed road trip, finishing 3-2 against the Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies.

Historically, both teams have had competitive matchups, with the Twins having a slight edge in recent years. However, the Mets have shown resilience at home with a 28-28 record, making them a formidable opponent.

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Player Prop Odds

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For Willi Castro:

• Batter Doubles (0.5) Over: +370
• Batter Hits (1.5) Over: +240
• Batter RBIs (0.5) Over: +190
• Batter Runs Scored (0.5) Over: +100
• Batter Singles (0.5) Over: -145
• Batter Stolen Bases (0.5) Over: +370
• Batter Total Bases (1.5) Over: +135

Player Analysis

Willi Castro has been one of the standout performers for the Twins this season. He boasts a .263 batting average, leading the team, and has demonstrated consistent hitting ability. Over the past 10 games, Castro has been particularly effective, hitting .300 with 2 home runs and 8 RBIs. His versatility and speed also make him a threat on the bases, as shown by his 14 stolen bases this season.

Opposing Analysis

Jose Quintana, the Mets' probable starter, has had a mixed season with a 5-6 record and a 4.02 ERA. While Quintana has been effective in limiting home runs, allowing only 18 over 107.1 innings, he has struggled against contact hitters. Right-handed batters have hit .270 against him this season, which bodes well for Castro, who can exploit Quintana’s tendency to allow hits.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
S. Woods Richardson (MIN)	3-1	3.27	1.11	88.0	73	76	25	8
J. Quintana (NYM)	5-6	4.02	1.28	107.1	98	85	39	18

Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have been solid this season, with a balanced attack both offensively and defensively. Their hitting ranks 10th in the league with 895 hits and 6th in runs scored with 506. The Twins' pitching staff has been reliable, with a team ERA of 4.19 and 28 saves on the season.

New York Mets

The Mets have also shown competitive play, ranking 9th in hits with 897 and 7th in runs scored with 505. Their pitching staff has a slightly better ERA at 4.09, and they have recorded 30 saves. The Mets' defense has committed 50 errors, indicating room for improvement.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Jose Miranda	3B	Upper Body	Day-to-Day
Carlos Correa	SS	Foot	10-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Harrison Bader	CF	Ankle	Day-to-Day
Kodai Senga	SP	Calf	15-Day IL

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Sat, Jul 20	vs Milwaukee	4-8	Loss
Sun, Jul 21	vs Milwaukee	7-8	Loss
Mon, Jul 22	vs Philadelphia	7-2	Win
Tue, Jul 23	vs Philadelphia	0-3	Loss
Wed, Jul 24	vs Philadelphia	5-4	Win

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	@ Miami	4-6	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	@ Miami	1-0	Win
Sun, Jul 21	@ Miami	2-4	Loss
Mon, Jul 22	@ Miami	6-4	Win
Tue, Jul 23	@ New York	3-2	Win

Prediction

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Pick: Willi Castro Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Given Castro's current form and Quintana's vulnerability against right-handed hitters, betting on Castro to exceed 1.5 total bases offers good value at +135. Castro's combination of speed and hitting ability makes this a strong pick.

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