MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:17:19 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 7/28
Photo Credit: © Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins will face off against the Detroit Tigers on July 28th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. The Twins are coming into this game with a record of 52-54, whereas the Tigers hold a more impressive 57-46 record. Historically, the Twins have struggled against the Tigers this season, and they'll be looking to turn their luck around in this matchup.
The Twins' recent form has been inconsistent, having gone 2-3 in their last five games. They suffered losses to the Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies, but managed to secure wins against the Philadelphia Phillies and Detroit Tigers. On the other hand, the Tigers have had a similar run, going 2-3 in their last five games, with victories against the Toronto Blue Jays and Cleveland Guardians.
Comerica Park will host this exciting matchup, and given the recent performances from both teams, it promises to be a thrilling game. The Tigers have shown strong offensive capabilities, ranking 7th in runs with 498, and they have a solid batting average of .253, which is also 7th in the league. The Twins, while not as strong offensively, have a respectable team ERA of 3.92, which ranks 14th in MLB.
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Player Prop Odds
For this game, we'll focus on Byron Buxton of the Minnesota Twins. Here are some of the player prop odds for Buxton:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+275), Under 0.5 (-429)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+146), Under 0.5 (-204)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-113), Under 0.5 (-121)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-108), Under 0.5 (-127)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+100), Under 1.5 (-137)
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Player Analysis
Byron Buxton is a key player for the Minnesota Twins. With his combination of speed and power, he has the ability to change the game in an instant. So far this season, Buxton has been a bit inconsistent but has shown flashes of his potential. He currently has 13 home runs and 42 RBIs with a batting average of .259. His speed also makes him a threat on the base paths, and he has the ability to turn singles into doubles.
Buxton's recent form has been solid, and he will be looking to continue that against the Tigers. With the odds for a home run at +400, there is significant value in betting on Buxton to go deep in this game.
Opposing Analysis
Opposing Buxton and the Twins is Alex Faedo, who has been impressive for the Tigers this season. Faedo has a 5-1 record with a 3.47 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 49.1 innings. He has been effective at limiting hard contact, and his ability to keep the ball in the park will be crucial against Buxton.
Faedo's ability to mix his pitches and keep hitters off balance will be key in this matchup. The Tigers' bullpen has also been solid, ranking 7th in saves with 30. If Faedo can keep the game close, the Tigers' relievers will be well-positioned to shut down the Twins' offense.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ober (MIN) | 9-5 | 4.04 | 1.06 | 107.0 | 88 | 110 | 25 | 17 |
| A. Faedo (DET) | 5-1 | 3.47 | 1.24 | 49.1 | 42 | 45 | 19 | 8 |
Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have had a roller-coaster season. They rank 17th in runs scored (448) and 19th in hits (821), with a team batting average of .233. The Twins' pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.92. Defensively, they’ve committed 60 errors, ranking 8th in MLB.
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers have been one of the pleasant surprises this season. They rank 7th in runs scored (498) and 10th in hits (879), with a team batting average of .253. The pitching staff has an ERA of 4.10, ranking 19th in MLB. Defensively, they’ve committed 49 errors, ranking 23rd in MLB.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Farmer | 2B | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mize | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| R. Greene | LF | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games
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| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L8-4 F/12 | 54-43 | Junis 2-0 | Okert 3-1 | NaN | 41679 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L8-7 | 54-44 | Koenig 8-1 | Jax 3-4 | Megill 19 | 36327 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | W7-2 | 55-44 | Ober 9-5 | Suarez 10-5 | Sands 3 | 29904 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | L3-0 | 55-45 | Soto 2-3 | Duran 5-5 | Strahm 1 | 31272 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | W5-4 | 56-45 | Duran 6-5 | Soto 2-4 | NaN | 33813 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Detroit | W9-3 | 57-45 | Lopez 9-7 | Montero 1-4 | NaN | 27778 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Detroit | L7-2 | 57-46 | Skubal 12-3 | Ryan 6-7 | NaN | 35138 |
| Sun, Jul 28 | @ Detroit | 1:40 PM | NaN | Ober | Faedo | Tickets as low as $15 | Tickets as low as $15 |
| Mon, Jul 29 | @ New York | 7:10 PM | NaN | Woods Richardson | Quintana | Tickets as low as $12 | Tickets as low as $12 |
| Tue, Jul 30 | @ New York | 7:10 PM | NaN | NaN | Manaea | Tickets as low as $8 | Tickets as low as $8 |
| Wed, Jul 31 | @ New York | 1:10 PM | NaN | Lopez | Severino | Tickets as low as $5 | Tickets as low as $5 |
| Fri, Aug 2 | vs Chicago | 8:10 PM | NaN | Ryan | Fedde | Tickets as low as $16 | Tickets as low as $16 |
| Sat, Aug 3 | vs Chicago | 7:10 PM | NaN | Ober | Crochet | Tickets as low as $27 | Tickets as low as $27 |
| Sun, Aug 4 | vs Chicago | 2:10 PM | NaN | Woods Richardson | Flexen | Tickets as low as $10 | Tickets as low as $10 |
| Mon, Aug 5 | @ Chicago | 8:05 PM | NaN | NaN | Hendricks | Tickets as low as $18 | Tickets as low as $18 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Toronto | W5-4 | 48-50 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Toronto | W7-3 | 49-50 |


