MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 5:14:42 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
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Photo Credit: © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins (39-66, fifth in the NL East) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (59-45, first in the NL Central) on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee. The game is scheduled to start at 2:10 p.m. EDT. The Marlins are currently riding a three-game road winning streak and are looking to extend their success in this matchup. The Brewers, on the other hand, have been strong at home with a 29-19 record and are aiming to maintain their dominance in the NL Central.
In their most recent games, the Marlins have shown impressive form, going 7-3 in their last ten games with a .275 batting average and a 2.97 ERA. They've managed to outscore their opponents by 15 runs during this stretch. The Brewers, however, have been more inconsistent, posting a 5-5 record in their last ten games with a .239 batting average and a 3.72 ERA, being outscored by one run in total.
Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand against the Brewers this season, leading the series 4-1. Key players for the Marlins include Bryan De La Cruz, who leads the team with 36 extra-base hits, and Josh Bell, who has been on fire in the last ten games, going 12-for-38 with five home runs and ten RBI. For the Brewers, Rhys Hoskins ranks third on the team with 26 extra-base hits, and Eric Haase has been in great form recently, going 7-for-16 with three home runs and seven RBI over the last ten games.
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Player Prop Odds
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Xavier Edwards Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-800)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+195), Under 1.5 (-275)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+295), Under 0.5 (-450)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-190), Under 0.5 (+140)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+290), Under 0.5 (-450)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135), Under 1.5 (-185)
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Player Analysis
Xavier Edwards has been a consistent performer for the Marlins this season. With a batting average of .288 and 17 home runs, he has been a key contributor to the team's offense. In his last ten games, Edwards has continued his strong form, hitting .275 with multiple extra-base hits. Given his recent performance, Edwards looks poised to make a significant impact in the upcoming game against the Brewers.
Opposing Analysis
The Brewers' pitching staff, led by Tobias Myers, has been solid this season. Myers, who holds a 6-4 record with a 3.14 ERA and 68 strikeouts, will be a tough opponent for Edwards and the Marlins. The Brewers' bullpen has also been reliable, which could limit the Marlins' scoring opportunities. However, the Marlins' recent offensive form suggests they could still find ways to produce runs.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIA) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have shown improvement recently, with a 7-3 record in their last ten games. Their offense has been effective, with a .275 team batting average during this stretch. Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell have been standout performers, contributing significantly to the team's run production. The Marlins' pitching staff has also been solid, posting a 2.97 ERA over the last ten games. However, the team will need to maintain this form to overcome the Brewers' strong pitching.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have been strong at home with a 29-19 record. Their pitching staff, led by Tobias Myers, has been a key factor in their success. Myers has been particularly impressive, with a 3.14 ERA and 68 strikeouts. The Brewers' offense, while not as dominant as their pitching, has had key contributions from players like Rhys Hoskins and Eric Haase. The Brewers will need to rely on their pitching to contain the Marlins' offense and secure a win.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | SP | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Eury Perez | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Sandy Alcantara | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser | RP | 60-Day IL (flexor) |
| Jackson Chourio | RF | day-to-day (ear) |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | 15-Day IL (oblique) |
| Rob Zastryzny | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Christian Yelich | LF | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Oliver Dunn | 2B | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Enoli Paredes | RP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| D.L. Hall | SP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Joe Ross | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| J.B. Bukauskas | RP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
| Wade Miley | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Devin Williams | RP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Brandon Woodruff | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | 0-1 | L |
| vs New York | 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | 4-6 | L |
| vs Baltimore | 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | 8-4 | W |
| @ Minnesota | 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | 1-3 | L |
| @ Chicago | 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given the odds and recent performances, our pick is to take Xavier Edwards for Over 1.5 Total Bases at +135 odds. Edwards has been in good form, and with the Brewers' recent struggles in containing the Marlins' offense, this bet offers good value.
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