MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:26:34 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 PM EDT at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The two teams are currently tied in the three-game series, with each winning one game so far. The Cubs, who are fifth in the NL Central with a 50-56 record, will be looking to build on their recent 9-4 victory over the Royals. On the other hand, the Royals, who are third in the AL Central with a 57-48 record, will aim to bounce back from their loss and secure the series win.
Kansas City has been strong at home with a 36-21 record and boasts the 10th best team batting average in MLB play at .251. The Cubs have struggled on the road with a 23-31 record but have shown resilience by winning games where they managed to hit at least two home runs, holding a 20-6 record in such instances. This game will be the third time these teams match up this season, adding an extra layer of anticipation for fans.
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Player Prop Odds
Nico Hoerner Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +285.0
- Batter Hits Over 1.5: +170.0
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +220.0
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +100.0
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: -195.0
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +100.0
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Player Analysis
Nico Hoerner has been a consistent performer for the Chicago Cubs this season. In his last 10 games, Hoerner has shown versatility with his hitting, recording multiple hits in several games. He has been particularly effective at getting on base and has been a crucial part of the Cubs' offense. His ability to hit singles, as reflected in his odds of -195.0 for over 0.5 singles, indicates his knack for getting on base and setting up scoring opportunities for his teammates.
Opposing Analysis
Hoerner will face Cole Ragans, who has been solid on the mound for the Royals this season. Ragans holds a 7-6 record with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. He has struck out 146 batters over 122.2 innings, making him a formidable opponent. However, Ragans has shown some vulnerability, allowing 101 hits, which could play to Hoerner's advantage as he looks to exploit any lapses in Ragans' pitching.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Assad | 4-3 | 3.15 | 1.38 | 88.2 | 81 | 81 | 41 | 12 |
| C. Ragans | 7-6 | 3.23 | 1.15 | 122.2 | 101 | 146 | 40 | 9 |
Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have had a roller-coaster season. With a record of 50-56, they are currently fifth in the NL Central. Offensively, the Cubs have shown potential, particularly in games where they hit multiple home runs. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki have been key contributors, with Happ hitting 16 home runs and Suzuki maintaining a .271 batting average. The Cubs' pitching staff has been relatively solid, holding a team ERA of 3.72, which is 7th best in the league.
Kansas City Royals
The Kansas City Royals have been more consistent this season, sitting third in the AL Central with a 57-48 record. The Royals have a strong home record of 36-21 and a team batting average of .251. Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout performer, boasting a .342 batting average with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs. The Royals' pitching staff has also been effective, with a team ERA of 3.73, ranking 8th in MLB.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Recent Games
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| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L5-2 | 47-52 |
| vs Arizona | L3-0 | 47-53 |
| vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | 48-53 |
| vs Milwaukee | W3-1 | 49-53 |
| vs Milwaukee | L1-0 | 49-54 |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W7-1 | 53-45 |
| vs Chicago | W6-1 | 54-45 |
| vs Chicago | W4-1 | 55-45 |
| vs Arizona | W10-4 | 56-45 |
| vs Arizona | L6-2 | 56-46 |
Prediction
Considering Nico Hoerner's recent form and the vulnerabilities of Royals pitcher Cole Ragans, the best player prop bet is for Nico Hoerner to record over 1.5 hits at +170.0 odds. Hoerner has shown the ability to get on base consistently and facing a pitcher who allows a fair number of hits could work in his favor.
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