MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/26

MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/26

Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The New York Yankees (60-44) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (54-47) at Fenway Park on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT to kick off a highly anticipated three-game series. The Yankees, currently second in the AL East, have been impressive on the road with a record of 33-21. They are coming off a mixed bag of performances in their last ten games, holding a 4-6 record, a .244 batting average, and a 3.98 ERA. Despite this, they have outscored their opponents by one run over this stretch.

The Boston Red Sox, sitting third in the AL East, have a slightly different story. They hold a home record of 24-25 and have hit 121 home runs, ranking fourth in the AL. Over their last ten games, the Red Sox have also posted a 4-6 record, but with a higher batting average of .289 and a 4.88 ERA, they have been outscored by seven runs.

Historically, the Red Sox lead the season series 4-2 against the Yankees. Key performers for Boston include Jarren Duran, who has 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs. Tyler O'Neill has also been in good form, going 13-for-42 with two doubles and four home runs over the past ten games. For the Yankees, Juan Soto has been a standout with 26 home runs and a .311 batting average, while Gleyber Torres has been solid, going 11-for-35 with two home runs in the same period.

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Player Prop Odds

For Friday's game, the player prop odds for Nestor Cortes pitching for the Yankees are as follows:

• Pitcher Record a Win: Yes +145

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Player Analysis

Nestor Cortes (NYY): Nestor Cortes has had a somewhat turbulent season with a 4-9 record, a 3.99 ERA, and a 1.16 WHIP. Over 119.2 innings pitched, he has struck out 111 batters while allowing 115 hits, 24 walks, and 19 home runs. Cortes has shown moments of brilliance but has been inconsistent at times, which is reflected in his record. A key factor in determining his success against the Red Sox will be his ability to keep the ball in the park and limit walks.

Opposing Analysis

Boston Red Sox Hitting: The Red Sox have a potent lineup with hitters like Jarren Duran and Tyler O'Neill in form. Duran, with his combination of power and speed, poses a significant threat, especially in the friendly confines of Fenway Park. As a team, Boston ranks high in home runs and batting average, which could spell trouble for Cortes if he struggles with his command. Additionally, the Red Sox have a .289 batting average over their last ten games, indicating that their hitters are seeing the ball well.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Nestor Cortes (NYY)	4-9	3.99	1.16	119.2	115	111	24	19
Brayan Bello (BOS)	10-5	5.27	1.44	95.2	104	92	34	15

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Team Previews

New York Yankees

Hitting: The Yankees' lineup is spearheaded by Juan Soto, who has been exceptional with 26 home runs and a .311 batting average. The team has a collective .331 on-base percentage, the third-best in the majors, and has scored 480 runs, ranking ninth. Key contributors include Gleyber Torres and Aaron Judge, both of whom have been reliable run producers.

Relief Pitching: The Yankees bullpen has been solid with 26 saves, ranking tied-13th in the league. Despite dealing with injuries to key relievers like Jonathan Loaisiga and Lou Trivino, they have managed a respectable team ERA of 3.80.

Fielding: The Yankees have committed 74 errors, tying for the most in the league. This is an area of concern that could impact close games, especially against a strong offensive team like the Red Sox.

Starting Pitchers: Nestor Cortes leads the rotation with a mix of experience and potential. However, inconsistent performances from other starters have put additional pressure on the bullpen.

Boston Red Sox

Hitting: The Red Sox have a dynamic lineup featuring Jarren Duran and Tyler O'Neill. They have hit 121 home runs, ranking fourth in the AL, and have scored 513 runs, the second-most in the league. Their collective batting average of .247 ranks 12th, but they have been potent offensively in recent games.

Relief Pitching: Despite injuries to crucial relievers like Kenley Jansen and Chris Martin, the Red Sox bullpen has managed 27 saves, tied-10th in the league. Their team ERA of 3.61 is impressive, ranking fourth in the league.

Fielding: The Red Sox have committed 61 errors, tying for the sixth-fewest in the league, indicating solid defensive play.

Starting Pitchers: Brayan Bello anchors the rotation with a 10-5 record, but his 5.27 ERA and 1.44 WHIP suggest vulnerability. The Red Sox will need a strong performance from Bello to neutralize the Yankees' potent lineup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 (Hamstring)
Nick Burdi	RP	Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 (Hip)
Triston Casas	1B	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 (Ribs)
Vaughn Grissom	2B	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 (Hamstring)

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
vs New York	L 3-2	L

Boston Red Sox

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 F/11	L
@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
@ Colorado	L 9-8 F/12	L
@ Colorado	W 6-0	W

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Prediction

Nestor Cortes has had a challenging season, but he has the potential to deliver a strong performance against the Red Sox. Considering the Yankees' solid road record and Cortes' capability to limit damage, betting on Cortes to record a win at +145 odds presents good value. The Red Sox have been inconsistent, and their recent struggles against strong pitching could give Cortes the edge he needs.

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