MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Twins vs Tigers 7/28

Photo Credit: © Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Minnesota Twins (57-46, second in the AL Central) will take on the Detroit Tigers (52-54, fourth in the AL Central) at Comerica Park, Detroit on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 1:40 p.m. EDT. The series is currently tied 1-1, with both teams aiming for a crucial win to secure the series victory. The Tigers have a balanced 25-25 record at home and have shown resilience, particularly in games where they hit at least two home runs, boasting a 24-4 record in such scenarios. Conversely, the Twins have a solid 28-25 record on the road and are 22-8 in games where they have not given up a home run. Historically, both teams have been evenly matched this season, with the series tied at 6-6 over their previous 12 encounters.

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Player Prop Odds

For Royce Lewis of the Minnesota Twins, here are the player prop odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300), Under 0.5 (-479)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+440)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+139), Under 0.5 (-194)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-104), Under 0.5 (-131)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-121), Under 0.5 (-113)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+106), Under 1.5 (-145)

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Player Analysis

Royce Lewis has been a key contributor for the Twins this season. He's hitting .255 with a decent power display, tallying 13 home runs and 42 RBIs. His recent form has been promising, with a notable performance over the past 10 games where he went 13-for-43, including five doubles and three home runs. Lewis has been instrumental in generating runs for the Twins, and his ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial for the upcoming game.

Opposing Analysis

Detroit Tigers' pitcher Alex Faedo will be on the mound against Lewis. Faedo has been impressive this season with a 5-1 record, a 3.47 ERA, and 45 strikeouts over 49.1 innings pitched. However, Faedo has shown vulnerability against right-handed hitters, giving up a higher batting average compared to left-handers. This could provide Lewis with an opportunity to capitalize, especially given his recent hot streak.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Bailey Ober (MIN)	9-5	4.04	110
Alex Faedo (DET)	5-1	3.47	45

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Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

Hitting: The Twins have been average offensively, ranking 17th in runs scored (448) with a team batting average of .233 (24th). They have managed 821 hits (19th) and 22 saves (T-22nd).

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid with a team ERA of 3.92 (14th) and has committed 60 errors (8th).

Fielding: Defensively, the Twins have been reliable, ranking 8th in the league with 60 errors.

Starting Pitchers: Bailey Ober leads the charge with a 9-5 record, a 4.04 ERA, and 110 strikeouts in 107 innings pitched.

Detroit Tigers

Hitting: The Tigers have been more productive offensively, ranking 7th in both batting average (.253) and runs scored (498). They have 879 hits, placing them 10th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The Tigers' bullpen has been slightly less effective with a team ERA of 4.10 (19th) and has committed 49 errors (T-23rd).

Fielding: The Tigers have struggled defensively, committing 49 errors, which ranks them tied for 23rd.

Starting Pitchers: Alex Faedo has been a bright spot with a 5-1 record, a 3.47 ERA, and 45 strikeouts in 49.1 innings pitched.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Kody Funderburk	RP	15-Day IL (oblique)
Carlos Correa	SS	10-Day IL (foot)
Chris Paddack	SP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Kyle Farmer	2B	10-Day IL (shoulder)
Alex Kirilloff	1B	10-Day IL (back)
Justin Topa	RP	60-Day IL (knee)
Daniel Duarte	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
Anthony DeSclafani	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Riley Greene	LF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Kerry Carpenter	OF	60-Day IL (spine)
Reese Olson	SP	15-Day IL (shoulder)
Parker Meadows	OF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Casey Mize	SP	15-Day IL (hamstring)
Sawyer Gipson-Long	RP	60-Day IL (groin)

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Milwaukee	4-8	L
vs Milwaukee	7-8	L
vs Philadelphia	7-2	W
vs Philadelphia	0-3	L
vs Philadelphia	5-4	W
@ Detroit	9-3	W
@ Detroit	2-7	L

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	5-4	W
@ Toronto	7-3	W
@ Toronto	4-5	L
@ Cleveland	8-2	W
@ Cleveland	4-5	L
@ Cleveland	1-2	L
@ Cleveland	3-0	W
vs Minnesota	3-9	L
vs Minnesota	7-2	W

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Prediction

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+106)

Royce Lewis has been in excellent form lately, and given Alex Faedo's vulnerability against right-handed hitters, Lewis has a good chance of surpassing 1.5 total bases in this game. His recent performance of hitting five doubles and three home runs in the last 10 games supports this prediction.

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