MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Twins vs Tigers 7/26

MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Twins vs Tigers 7/26

Game Summary

The Minnesota Twins (56-45) will be visiting the Detroit Tigers (51-53) at Comerica Park on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. This game marks the start of a three-game series between the two American League Central teams. The Twins are currently second in the division, while the Tigers sit in fourth place. The season series between these teams is currently tied at 5-5, making this game pivotal for both teams.

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Detroit has shown balance this season with a 24-24 record at home. The Tigers' offense, highlighted by their .388 slugging percentage, ranks ninth in the AL. Minnesota, with a 27-24 road record, has demonstrated the ability to score in bunches, boasting a 40-8 record in games where they score five or more runs. With both teams having evenly split their previous ten matchups, this game promises to be an intriguing contest.

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Player Prop Odds

For this matchup, we will be focusing on Gio Urshela's player props:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+280)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)

Player Analysis

Gio Urshela has been a consistent performer for the Twins this season. While his overall power numbers may not jump off the page, he has been particularly effective at getting on base and providing timely hits. Urshela's batting average sits around .270, and he has shown an ability to come through in clutch situations. In particular, his ability to hit singles and get on base makes the prop for over 0.5 singles at -140 an intriguing option.

Opposing Analysis

Keider Montero will be on the mound for the Tigers. Montero has struggled this season, posting a 5.97 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 31.2 innings. Opposing batters are hitting him at a .272 clip, indicating that he gives up a fair amount of hits. This bodes well for Urshela, who can take advantage of Montero’s struggles to keep hitters off the bases.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Pablo Lopez (MIN)	8-7	4.86	1.15	111.0	104	128	24	18
Keider Montero (DET)	1-3	5.97	1.39	31.2	34	26	10	7

Team Previews

Minnesota Twins: The Twins have a balanced team with a strong offense and solid pitching. They rank 19th in hits (813), 16th in runs (445), and 24th in batting average (.233). Their pitching staff has been reliable, ranking 14th in ERA (3.89). Defensively, the Twins have committed 59 errors, ranking them 8th in the league.

Detroit Tigers: The Tigers' offense has been more productive than the Twins', ranking 10th in hits (867) and 7th in runs (489). They have a team batting average of .252, ranking 8th in the league. However, their pitching staff has struggled, ranking 19th in ERA (4.11). Defensively, they have committed 49 errors, ranking 22nd in the league.

Team Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Byron Buxton	CF	Forearm	Day-to-day
Kody Funderburk	RP	Oblique	15-Day IL
Carlos Correa	SS	Foot	10-Day IL
Chris Paddack	SP	Forearm	15-Day IL
Jose Miranda	3B	Back	10-Day IL
Kyle Farmer	2B	Shoulder	10-Day IL
Royce Lewis	SS	Abductor	10-Day IL
Alex Kirilloff	RF	Back	10-Day IL
Justin Topa	RP	Knee	60-Day IL
Daniel Duarte	RP	Tricep	60-Day IL
Anthony DeSclafani	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Detroit Tigers

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Kerry Carpenter	RF	Spine	60-Day IL
Reese Olson	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Parker Meadows	CF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Casey Mize	SP	Hamstring	15-Day IL
Sawyer Gipson-Long	RP	Groin	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Minnesota Twins

Opponent	Score	Result
vs Milwaukee	8-4	L
vs Milwaukee	8-7	L
vs Philadelphia	7-2	W
vs Philadelphia	3-0	L
vs Philadelphia	5-4	W

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	Result
@ Toronto	5-4	W
@ Toronto	7-3	W
@ Toronto	5-4	L
@ Cleveland	8-2	W
@ Cleveland	5-4	L

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Prediction

Given Gio Urshela's consistency at the plate and Keider Montero's struggles on the mound, the prop bet for Urshela to have over 0.5 singles at -140 seems like a solid pick. Urshela has the ability to take advantage of Montero’s inconsistencies and get on base with a single. Additionally, the over 1.5 total bases at +155 is also a tempting option given Urshela's ability to hit for extra bases.

Pick: Gio Urshela Over 0.5 Singles (-140)

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