MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros

MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros

Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Houston Astros on July 29, 2024, at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. The Pirates enter this matchup with a record of 55-50, while the Astros stand at 53-52. Recent performances have seen the Pirates secure a narrow victory against the Arizona Diamondbacks, while the Astros have had mixed results, including a tight win over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Historically, the Astros have been dominant in their home games against the Pirates, but with the Pirates' recent form and the Astros struggling for consistency, this game promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams have key players who can change the game's outcome, making prop bets a thrilling option for bettors.

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Player Prop Odds

For Alex Bregman, the following prop odds are available:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+280)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+240)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130)

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Player Analysis

Alex Bregman has been a consistent performer for the Houston Astros this season. With a batting average of .253, 17 home runs, and 53 RBIs, Bregman remains a key figure in the Astros' lineup. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset in any prop bet scenario.

Bregman has shown a knack for hitting doubles and accumulating total bases, making the "Over 0.5 Doubles" and "Over 1.5 Total Bases" intriguing prop bets. His recent form suggests that he could easily surpass these totals, especially against a struggling Pirates pitching staff.

Opposing Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates' pitching staff has had its ups and downs this season. Jake Bloss, the probable starting pitcher for the Pirates, has an ERA of 6.94 and has struggled to keep hitters off the bases. His WHIP of 1.63 and the tendency to give up home runs could play right into Bregman's hands.

The Pirates' bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack with an ERA of 4.01, but they have been prone to giving up big hits in crucial moments. This presents an opportunity for Bregman to capitalize and exceed his prop bet targets, especially in the later innings.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Paul Skenes (HOU)	6-1	1.93	97
Jake Bloss (PIT)	0-1	6.94	11

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates' offense has been relatively strong, ranked 2nd in hits (943) and boasting a team batting average of .262. However, their pitching staff has struggled, with a team ERA of 4.01 and significant issues in the bullpen.

Fielding has also been a concern for the Pirates, as they rank 29th in errors (43). These defensive lapses could provide additional opportunities for Astros' hitters like Bregman to accumulate hits and RBIs.

Houston Astros

The Astros have had a challenging season offensively, ranked 26th in hits (822) and with a team batting average of .232. However, their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.83 and solid performances from starters like Paul Skenes.

Defensively, the Astros have been average, with 51 errors placing them 20th in the league. This could be an area the Pirates could exploit, but given the Astros' strong pitching, it may not be enough to make a significant impact.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Nick Gonzales	2B	Sun, Jul 28	Groin	Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
Rowdy Tellez	1B	Sun, Jul 28	Back	Probable for Jul 29
Bailey Falter	SP	Sun, Jul 28	Triceps	Expected to be out until at least Jul 30

Houston Astros

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Bennett Sousa	RP	Sat, Jul 27	Shoulder	Out for the season

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	W/L
Philadelphia Phillies	8-7	W
Philadelphia Phillies	4-1	W
Philadelphia Phillies	0-6	L
St. Louis Cardinals	2-1	W
St. Louis Cardinals	1-2	L

Houston Astros

Opponent	Score	W/L
Seattle Mariners	3-0	W
Seattle Mariners	4-2	W
Seattle Mariners	4-6	L
Oakland Athletics	0-4	L
Oakland Athletics	2-8	L

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Prediction

Given Alex Bregman's consistent performance and the struggles of Pirates' pitcher Jake Bloss, the prop bet "Over 1.5 Total Bases" at +130 odds looks promising. Bregman has the power and consistency to exceed this total, especially against a pitcher with a high ERA and WHIP.

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases

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