MLB Player Props Picks 2024: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

MLB Player Props Picks 2024: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

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Game Summary

The Boston Red Sox will host the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:15 p.m. EDT. The Red Sox are looking to extend their three-game home winning streak. Boston's overall record stands at 55-47, with a .432 team slugging percentage, ranking third in the MLB. On the other hand, the Yankees have been strong on the road with a 33-22 record and 60-45 overall. They boast the fourth-best team slugging percentage in the league at .429.

Historically, the Red Sox hold a 5-2 advantage over the Yankees in their season series. Key players to watch include Jarren Duran for the Red Sox, who has 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs this season. For the Yankees, Juan Soto has been a standout, hitting .307 with 20 doubles, four triples, and 26 home runs. Both teams have had mixed results over their last 10 games, with Boston batting .297 and the Yankees .258. Injuries will also play a significant role, with notable absences including Bryan Mata and Kenley Jansen for the Red Sox, and Giancarlo Stanton and Jose Trevino for the Yankees.

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Player Prop Odds

For this game, the player prop odds for Dominic Smith are as follows:

• Batter Doubles (Over 0.5): +260
• Batter Hits (Over 1.5): +230
• Batter RBIs (Over 0.5): +140
• Batter Runs Scored (Over 0.5): -105
• Batter Singles (Over 0.5): -140
• Batter Total Bases (Over 1.5): +115

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Player Analysis

Dominic Smith has been an integral part of the New York Yankees' lineup this season. His batting average stands at .258, and he has shown consistent ability to get on base. Smith has 911 hits this season, ranking third in the league. He has also contributed significantly in terms of power, with 23 home runs and 64 RBIs. His recent form has been notable, with a batting average of .258 over the last 10 games.

Smith's performance at the plate has been a cornerstone for the Yankees, and his ability to hit doubles and singles makes him a valuable asset. Given his current odds, betting on Smith to achieve over 1.5 total bases at +115 seems like a reasonable wager. His consistency in getting hits and his power-hitting ability support this bet.

Opposing Analysis

Kutter Crawford will be pitching for the Boston Red Sox. Crawford has a 6-8 record with a 3.37 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. He has struck out 112 batters over 117.2 innings pitched. While Crawford has been effective, he has also allowed 95 hits and 19 home runs this season. The Yankees' lineup, featuring power hitters like Dominic Smith, may pose a significant challenge for Crawford.

The Red Sox's bullpen has been somewhat shaky, with a team ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth in the league. This could provide additional opportunities for Smith and the Yankees' hitters to exploit any weaknesses in the later innings.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Marcus Stroman (NYY)	7-5	3.51	1.31	110.1	97	83	47	17
Kutter Crawford (BOS)	6-8	3.37	1.05	117.2	95	112	29	19

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Team Previews

New York Yankees

The Yankees have been strong overall, with a 60-45 record. They rank third in hits with 911 and have scored 489 runs, tied for eighth in the league. Their team batting average stands at .258. The Yankees' pitching staff has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.84, ranking 13th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 74 errors, the second most in the league.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have a 55-47 record and have been strong offensively, leading the league in runs scored with 520. They have a team batting average of .248, ranking 12th. Boston's pitching has been effective, with a team ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth. Defensively, the Red Sox have committed 61 errors, ranking seventh in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Jose Trevino	C	10-Day IL (quadricep)
Anthony Rizzo	1B	60-Day IL (wrist)
Lucas Giolito	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Kenley Jansen	RP	day-to-day (heart)
Chris Martin	RP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Trevor Story	SS	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
vs New York	L 3-2	L

Boston Red Sox

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 F/11	L
@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
@ Colorado	L 9-8 F/12	L
@ Colorado	W 6-0	W

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Prediction

Based on the analysis of both teams and Dominic Smith's recent performance, the recommended player prop pick is:

Smith's consistent hitting and power, combined with Kutter Crawford's susceptibility to home runs, make this a favorable bet.

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