MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Dodgers vs Astros 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:50:58 AM
MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Dodgers vs Astros 7/28
Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On July 28, 2024, the Los Angeles Dodgers will face the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas. Both teams are having strong seasons, with the Dodgers holding a 55-49 record and the Astros standing at an impressive 62-44. The Astros are particularly formidable at home with a 34-20 record, while the Dodgers have struggled slightly on the road at 25-28. This matchup features two teams that boast powerful offenses and solid pitching staffs, making for an exciting game.
The Dodgers come into this game having won 3 of their last 5 games, including a series win against the Boston Red Sox. The Astros, on the other hand, have won 4 of their last 5 games, demonstrating their consistent form. Historically, the Astros have had the upper hand against the Dodgers, especially in home games. However, the Dodgers' offense has been potent this season, ranking 2nd in hits (927) and 2nd in batting average (.262).
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Player Prop Odds
Gavin Lux Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +440
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +260
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +175
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -105
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -130
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +140
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Player Analysis
Gavin Lux has been a key contributor for the Dodgers this season. With a .262 batting average, he has proven to be a reliable hitter in the lineup. Lux's ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities has made him an integral part of the Dodgers' offense. His speed and agility also make him a threat on the base paths, often turning singles into extra bases.
In his last 10 games, Lux has been hitting .289 with 2 home runs and 7 RBIs. His recent form suggests that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. Against the Astros' pitching staff, Lux's ability to make consistent contact could be a significant factor in tonight's game.
Opposing Analysis
Starting for the Astros is River Ryan, who has a 0-0 record with a 0.00 ERA in 5.1 innings pitched this season. While Ryan has limited MLB experience, his minor league numbers indicate that he has the potential to be effective. However, facing a potent Dodgers lineup will be a true test of his abilities.
The Astros' bullpen has been one of the best in the league, with a combined ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th in MLB. They have also been efficient in closing out games, with 33 saves, tied for 4th in the league. The Astros' pitchers will need to be at their best to contain a Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in hits and 10th in runs scored.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti | Dodgers | 4-8 | 5.65 | 96 |
| River Ryan | Astros | 0-0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been one of the most consistent teams in MLB this season. They rank 2nd in hits (927) and 2nd in batting average (.262). Their offense, led by stars like Gavin Lux and Mookie Betts, has been a driving force. On the pitching side, the Dodgers have a team ERA of 3.98, ranking 15th, and their bullpen has been reliable with 25 saves.
Houston Astros
The Astros have also had a strong season, ranking 4th in hits (908) and 5th in batting average (.254). Their offense, led by Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez, has been explosive. The Astros' pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th, and their bullpen has been excellent in closing out games with 33 saves.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Bennett Sousa | RP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
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Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 5-2 | W |
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Gavin Lux (+140). Lux's recent form and the Astros' young starting pitcher make this a favorable bet.
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