MLB Player Props Picks 2024: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

Photo Credit: © Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals are set to clash in the rubber match of their three-game series on Sunday, July 21, 2024, at Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves, boasting a 54-43 record, currently sit in second place in the NL East, while the Cardinals, with a 51-47 record, occupy the same position in the NL Central. Both teams are vying for crucial wins as the season progresses.

The Braves have been dominant at home, maintaining a 30-18 record at Truist Park. However, they have struggled when conceding home runs, holding only a 20-34 record in such games. On the other side, the Cardinals have been competitive on the road, with a balanced 25-25 away record. They have excelled when hitting multiple home runs, boasting a 16-9 record in games where they hit two or more homers.

In terms of recent performance, the Braves have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, posting a .232 batting average and a 3.20 ERA while outscoring opponents by nine runs. The Cardinals, meanwhile, have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, with a .284 batting average and a 4.39 ERA, also outscoring opponents by nine runs. This matchup promises to be a tightly contested affair.

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Odds and Betting Lines

• Braves Moneyline: -147
• Cardinals Moneyline: +124
• Over/Under: 8.5 runs

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts	WHIP
Miles Mikolas (STL)	7-8	5.13	77	1.22
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL)	3-4	4.43	41	1.16

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Team Previews

St. Louis Cardinals

Hitting: The Cardinals' offense has been led by Nolan Gorman, who has 18 home runs and a .420 slugging percentage. Alec Burleson has been on fire recently, going 16-for-40 with three doubles, four home runs, and 15 RBIs over the past 10 games. As a team, they have a .241 batting average, ranking 17th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The Cardinals' bullpen has been solid, with 26 saves, ranking them tied for 10th in the league. Their overall team ERA is 3.44, the best in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Cardinals have struggled, committing 40 errors, which ranks them 30th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Miles Mikolas will be on the mound for the Cardinals. He has a 7-8 record with a 5.13 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Mikolas will need to bring his best stuff to contain the Braves' potent offense.

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: Marcell Ozuna has been the standout performer for the Braves, hitting .305 with 20 doubles and 28 home runs. Austin Riley has also been in good form, going 12-for-37 with five doubles and two home runs over the past 10 games. The Braves have a .247 team batting average, ranking 12th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has been exceptional, leading the league with 36 saves. Their overall team ERA stands at 4.01, which ranks 16th in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Braves have committed 46 errors, ranking them tied for 24th in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Spencer Schwellenbach will start for the Braves. He has a 3-4 record with a 4.43 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Schwellenbach will look to build on his solid performances and keep the Cardinals' hitters at bay.

Team Injuries

St. Louis Cardinals

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Steven Matz	SP	Back	60-Day IL
Keynan Middleton	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Nick Robertson	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Riley O'Brien	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Tommy Edman	2B	Wrist	60-Day IL
Drew Rom	RP	Biceps	60-Day IL

Atlanta Braves

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Raymond Kerr	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Spencer Strider	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Hurston Waldrep	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Huascar Ynoa	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Michael Harris II	CF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Ronald Acuna Jr.	RF	Knee	60-Day IL
Jimmy Herget	RP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Tyler Matzek	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Angel Perdomo	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed
@ Atlanta	3-2	L
@ Atlanta	9-5	W
@ Pittsburgh	Upcoming	Upcoming
@ Pittsburgh	Upcoming	Upcoming

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs St. Louis	Postponed	Postponed
vs St. Louis	3-2	W
vs St. Louis	5-9	L
vs Cincinnati	Upcoming	Upcoming
vs Cincinnati	Upcoming	Upcoming

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Team Rankings

Team	Hitting	Starting Pitching	Relief Pitching	Fielding
St. Louis Cardinals	16th	1st	10th	30th
Atlanta Braves	11th	16th	1st	24th

Prediction

Michael Siani has shown his speed on the basepaths this season, accumulating 12 steals in 46 attempts. Given the Cardinals' tendency to allow stolen bases and Siani's knack for picking the right moments, betting on him to have over 0.5 stolen bases at +370 odds offers great value. The Braves' pitching staff has been prone to allowing steals, which further supports this pick. Despite his lower batting average, Siani's speed and the likelihood of him getting on base make this a worthwhile prop bet.

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