MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Braves vs Mets 7/28

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:59:14 AM
MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Braves vs Mets 7/28
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Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on July 28, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Braves are coming off a mixed set of games, holding a record of 55-49, while the Mets are at a similar position with a record of 55-48. This game is crucial for both teams as they look to gain traction in the tightly contested division.
Recent performances and historical matchups between these two teams have been closely contested. The Braves have struggled slightly on the road with a 27-22 record, whereas the Mets have been formidable at home, sitting at 30-21. The pitching matchup will feature David Peterson for the Braves, who has a 5-0 record with a 3.14 ERA, against Reynaldo Lopez of the Mets, who boasts a 7-4 record with an impressive 2.12 ERA.
Both teams have key players who can make a significant impact. The Braves rely on Francisco Lindor, who has been stellar with a .254 batting average and 22 home runs. On the other hand, the Mets have Marcell Ozuna leading the charge with a .307 batting average and 30 home runs. This matchup promises to be an exciting one, with both teams having much at stake.
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Player Prop Odds
For J.D. Martinez:
- Batter Doubles 0.5 Over +400
- Batter Hits 0.5 Over -185
- Batter RBIs 0.5 Over +175
- Batter Runs Scored 0.5 Over +105
- Batter Singles 0.5 Over +100
- Batter Total Bases 1.5 Over +145
Player Analysis
J.D. Martinez has been a consistent performer this season. With a batting average of .307 and 30 home runs, he has shown his ability to deliver in crucial moments. Martinez has a knack for getting on base and driving in runs, making him a key player for the Mets' offense. His recent form has been impressive, and he will look to continue this trend against the Braves.
Opposing Analysis
Facing David Peterson, who has a 3.14 ERA, will be a challenge for Martinez. However, Peterson has shown vulnerability, particularly with a higher WHIP of 1.48, indicating that he allows base runners. The Braves' pitching staff has an ERA of 4.15, ranked 21st in the league, suggesting that there are opportunities for hitters like Martinez to capitalize.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (ATL) | 5-0 | 3.14 | 36 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (NYM) | 7-4 | 2.12 | 100 |
Team Previews
**Atlanta Braves:**
Hitting: The Braves have a potent offense, ranking 5th in runs with 504 and 9th in hits with 884. Their team batting average of .249 is 11th in the league. Francisco Lindor is the key player, leading the team in batting average and home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has been reliable, with 28 saves ranking them 9th. However, their ERA of 4.15 is a concern, indicating potential struggles in pitching depth.
Fielding: With 70 errors, the Braves are ranked 3rd in fielding, showcasing solid defensive capabilities.
Starting Pitchers: David Peterson, with a 5-0 record and a 3.14 ERA, has been a bright spot in the rotation.
**New York Mets:**
Hitting: The Mets have struggled offensively, ranking 21st in runs with 428 and 18th in hits with 825. Marcell Ozuna is the standout performer, leading the team in batting average and home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has been effective, with 26 saves ranking them 14th. Their team ERA of 3.52 is impressive, ranking 3rd in the league.
Fielding: The Mets have committed 45 errors, ranking them 27th, indicating room for improvement in their defensive play.
Starting Pitchers: Reynaldo Lopez has been outstanding with a 7-4 record and a 2.12 ERA, leading the rotation.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield | LF | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Ankle | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Kodai Senga | SP | Calf | Out for the season |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| Jul 20 | @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| Jul 21 | @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| Jul 22 | @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| Jul 23 | @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Given J.D. Martinez's recent form and the vulnerability in David Peterson's WHIP,
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Photo Credit: © Photo/James J. Connolly/Correspondent
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