MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles (60-41, first in the AL East) will face the Miami Marlins (37-65, fifth in the NL East) on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 12:10 p.m. EDT at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The Orioles are struggling on the road, coming into this game with a three-game road losing streak. On the other hand, the Marlins are looking to capitalize on their home advantage where they have a 22-33 record.
Historically, Miami has a 27-12 record in games where they have out-hit their opponents. Baltimore has the seventh-best team batting average in MLB play at .252, but their recent form has been lackluster with a .228 batting average and a 4.86 ERA over the last 10 games. The Marlins have been slightly better, posting a .287 average and a 4.14 ERA in the same span.
In their last meeting, the Marlins managed a 6-3 victory over the Orioles, making it two consecutive wins against Baltimore. The Orioles' recent struggles, particularly on the road, make this an intriguing matchup as both teams look to improve their standings.
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Player Prop Odds
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For Bryan De La Cruz:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370.0)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-195.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135.0)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115.0)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140.0)
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Player Analysis
Bryan De La Cruz has been a key performer for the Miami Marlins this season. Currently, he leads the team in home runs with 17 and has a respectable batting average of .251. In the last 10 games, De La Cruz has been hitting well, contributing significantly to the Marlins' offensive efforts.
Given his recent form, the player prop odds for De La Cruz are intriguing. The over 0.5 hits at -195.0 seems like a solid bet, considering his consistency at the plate. Additionally, the over 1.5 total bases at +140.0 provides value, especially if he can connect for extra-base hits.
Opposing Analysis
The Baltimore Orioles will be sending Corbin Burnes to the mound. Burnes has been phenomenal this season with a 10-4 record, a 2.38 ERA, and 116 strikeouts. However, the Orioles' bullpen has been suspect, which could give De La Cruz opportunities later in the game.
Burnes' dominance might make it challenging for De La Cruz early on, but the Marlins' hitter has shown the ability to capitalize on mistakes, especially against top pitchers. If Burnes falters even slightly, De La Cruz could easily surpass the listed props.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 101 | 116 | 29 | 14 |
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 1.39 | 56.0 | 49 | 47 | 29 | 15 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have a solid lineup with a team batting average of .252. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .285 average, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been in great form, hitting .325 over the last 10 games. The pitching staff, led by Corbin Burnes, has a team ERA of 3.73, ranking 7th in MLB.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins, despite their struggles, have a few standout performers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the primary offensive threats. The team has a collective batting average of .252, which ranks 9th in the league. However, their pitching staff, with a 4.49 ERA, has been a weak point.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Wed, Jul 24 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 13 |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
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Baltimore Orioles
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Batter Hits Over 0.5 (-195.0)
Bryan De La Cruz has been hitting well recently and faces a Baltimore bullpen that has been inconsistent. The over 0.5 hits prop offers value at -195.0, making it a strong pick for today's game.
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