MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:08:47 AM
MLB Player Props Picks 2024: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves, currently holding a 54-48 record, are looking to break their six-game losing streak as they face off against the New York Mets, who stand at 55-48. The game is set to take place on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. EDT at Citi Field, New York. This matchup is critical for both teams as they vie for positioning in the NL East standings, with the Mets holding a slight advantage over the Braves in the season series at 5-3.
The Mets have performed well at home this season with a 28-26 record and have shown strength in games where they score five or more runs, boasting a 38-15 record in such scenarios. The Braves, on the other hand, have a decent road record of 24-27 and excel when they out-hit their opponents, maintaining a 40-8 record in those games.
Notable performers for the Mets include Francisco Lindor, who leads the team with 22 home runs and a slugging percentage of .480, and Jose Iglesias, who has been hitting .459 over his last 10 games. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna stands out with a .308 batting average and 29 home runs, while Travis d'Arnaud has driven in eight runs in his last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Harrison Bader in the upcoming game:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+480)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-135)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+240)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+270)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+230)
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Player Analysis
Harrison Bader has been a consistent performer for the Mets, particularly in the recent games. Despite dealing with an ankle injury, Bader is listed as probable for the game on July 27. Over the last few games, Bader has shown an ability to get on base and contribute offensively, making him a valuable asset to the Mets’ lineup.
Opposing Analysis
For the Atlanta Braves, Spencer Schwellenbach will be taking the mound. Schwellenbach has a 3-5 record with a 4.62 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He has been fairly consistent but has shown vulnerability to giving up hits, which could play to Bader’s advantage. The Braves’ bullpen has also been shaky, with an overall ERA of 4.15, ranking them 21st in the league.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Schwellenbach (ATL) | 3-5 | 4.62 | 1.16 | 50.2 | 49 | 49 | 10 | 7 |
| T. Megill (NYM) | 2-4 | 5.08 | 1.44 | 39.0 | 37 | 49 | 19 | 3 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves have been struggling recently, with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games and a team batting average of .223. Their pitching staff has also been underperforming, with a 4.54 ERA over the same period. Despite these struggles, the Braves have some strong hitters like Marcell Ozuna, who leads the team in batting average (.308) and home runs (29).
New York Mets
The New York Mets have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games and outscoring their opponents by 15 runs. The Mets' pitching staff has been solid, with a 3.64 ERA over the last 10 games. Key players like Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias have been driving the Mets' offense, making them a formidable team.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | SP | Calf | Day-to-day |
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Harrison Bader | CF | Ankle | Probable |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Max Fried | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W3-2 F/10 | Win |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L9-5 | Loss |
| Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L6-2 | Loss |
| Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L4-1 | Loss |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Miami | L6-4 | Loss |
| Jul 20 | @ Miami | W1-0 | Win |
| Jul 21 | @ Miami | L4-2 | Loss |
| Jul 22 | @ Miami | W6-4 | Win |
| Jul 23 | @ New York | W3-2 | Win |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 hits for Harrison Bader (-135). Given his recent form and the Braves' pitching vulnerabilities, Bader is likely to get at least one hit in this game.
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