MLB Player Props Odds: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/28

Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Washington Nationals (49-56, fourth in the NL East) will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (53-51, second in the NL Central) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:15 p.m. EDT. The Nationals are coming off a thrilling victory where James Wood had a standout performance, going 4-for-4 against the Cardinals on Saturday.

St. Louis has a mixed home record of 26-24 and an overall record of 53-51. They rank ninth in the NL for on-base percentage at .309. Meanwhile, Washington has a 49-56 overall record and is 26-29 on the road. The Nationals have shown power, hitting two or more home runs in 13 of their games this season, resulting in a 13-8 record in those contests.

This game marks the seventh meeting between these two teams this season, with the series currently tied at 3-3. Key performers for the Cardinals include Nolan Gorman, who leads the team with 19 home runs and a .418 slugging percentage. Masyn Winn has also been hot, going 12-for-43 with two triples, two home runs, and four RBIs in the last 10 games.

For the Nationals, C.J. Abrams has been impressive with 21 doubles, six triples, and 15 home runs. Juan Yepez has also been noteworthy, going 16-for-39 with five doubles and two home runs over the last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

For today's game, the odds for Miles Mikolas to record a win are +145 for Yes and -200 for No. This prop bet is an interesting one to consider given Mikolas' recent performances and the Nationals' current form.

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Player Analysis

Miles Mikolas has had a rollercoaster season so far, holding an 8-8 record with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Over 118.1 innings pitched, he has given up 126 hits, struck out 80 batters, and walked 19. Notably, Mikolas has surrendered 18 home runs this season, which could be a concern against a Nationals team capable of hitting the long ball.

Opposing Analysis

The Washington Nationals will counter with DJ Herz, who has a 1-4 record with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 36.1 innings. Herz has been inconsistent, allowing 40 hits and 11 walks while striking out 45. Given the Cardinals' offensive capabilities, particularly Gorman and Winn, Herz will need to be at his best to keep his team in the game.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
D. Herz	1-4	4.95	1.40	36.1	40	45	11	8
M. Mikolas	8-8	5.02	1.23	118.1	126	80	19	18

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Team Previews

Washington Nationals

The Nationals have a .245 team batting average, ranking 14th in the MLB. They have accumulated 859 hits and 426 runs, placing them 15th and 22nd respectively. Their team ERA stands at 4.00, ranking 17th, while their 37 saves tie them for first place. However, they have committed 46 errors, ranking 26th in the league.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have a .237 team batting average, ranking 19th in the MLB. They have amassed 815 hits and 433 runs, placing them 22nd and 20th respectively. Their team ERA is 4.22, ranking 22nd, and they have 29 saves, ranking 8th. They have committed 59 errors, ranking tied for 9th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jordan Weems	RP	Shin	15-Day IL
Josiah Gray	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Joey Gallo	OF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Trevor Williams	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Cade Cavalli	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Mason Thompson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Steven Matz	SP	Back	60-Day IL
Keynan Middleton	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Nick Robertson	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Riley O'Brien	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Tommy Edman	IF	Wrist	60-Day IL
Drew Rom	SP	Biceps	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Cincinnati	W 8-5	W
vs Cincinnati	W 5-4	W
vs Cincinnati	W 5-2	W
vs San Diego	L 4-0	L
vs San Diego	L 12-3	L

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Atlanta	L 3-2	L
@ Atlanta	W 9-5	W
@ Atlanta	W 6-2	W
@ Pittsburgh	L 2-1	L
@ Pittsburgh	W 2-1	W

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Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, the Cardinals' offense looks poised to take advantage of DJ Herz's inconsistencies. Meanwhile, Miles Mikolas, despite his struggles, has a better chance of securing a win given the support from his lineup and the Nationals' injury woes.

Pick: Miles Mikolas to record a win (+145)

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