MLB Player Props Odds Today: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals

MLB Player Props Odds Today: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals

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Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Washington Nationals (49-56, fourth in the NL East) will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (53-51, second in the NL Central) on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. EDT. The Cardinals come into this matchup with a home record of 26-24 and are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the Nationals on Saturday, where James Wood had an impressive four-hit game.

St. Louis has been solid overall, boasting a ninth-ranked team on-base percentage in the National League at .309. Washington, on the other hand, has struggled on the road with a 26-29 record but has shown some power, going 13-8 in games when they hit two or more home runs.

This will be the seventh meeting between these two teams this season, with the series currently tied at 3-3. The Cardinals are led by Nolan Gorman, who has 19 home runs, and Masyn Winn, who has been hot over the last 10 games, going 12-for-43 with two triples, two home runs, and four RBIs. For the Nationals, C.J. Abrams stands out with 21 doubles, six triples, and 15 home runs, while Juan Yepez has been productive, going 16-for-39 with five doubles and two home runs in his last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

Paul Goldschmidt:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+310), Under 0.5 (-500)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+340), Under 0.5 (-550)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130), Under 0.5 (-180)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105), Under 0.5 (-130)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+100), Under 1.5 (-135)

Player Analysis

Paul Goldschmidt has been a consistent force for the Cardinals this season. With a batting average of .287, 19 home runs, and 60 RBIs, Goldschmidt has been a key contributor in the middle of the Cardinals' lineup. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for St. Louis. Over the past 10 games, he has continued to be productive, which bodes well for his performance in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

DJ Herz takes the mound for the Nationals, bringing a 1-4 record with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Herz has shown flashes of potential but has struggled with consistency. The Cardinals' lineup, featuring Goldschmidt, will look to capitalize on Herz's struggles. St. Louis' offense averages .237, which ranks 19th in the league, but their power hitters, including Goldschmidt, have the potential to exploit Herz's weaknesses.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
DJ Herz (WAS)	1-4	4.95	1.40	36.1	40	45	11	8
Miles Mikolas (STL)	8-8	5.02	1.23	118.1	126	80	19	18

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Team Previews

Washington Nationals

The Nationals have struggled this season, holding a record of 49-56. Their offense ranks 22nd in runs scored (426) and 14th in batting average (.245). The pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.00, which ranks 17th in the league. Relief pitching has been a bright spot, with the bullpen recording 37 saves, tied for the most in the league. Defensively, the Nationals have committed 46 errors, ranking 26th in the league.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have been slightly better, with a record of 53-51. Offensively, they rank 20th in runs scored (433) and 19th in batting average (.237). The pitching staff has struggled, with a combined ERA of 4.22, ranking 22nd in the league. The bullpen has recorded 29 saves, ranking 8th in the league. Defensively, the Cardinals have committed 59 errors, ranking 9th in the league.

Team Injuries

Washington Nationals

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Jordan Weems	RP	Shin	15-Day IL
Josiah Gray	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Joey Gallo	OF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Trevor Williams	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Cade Cavalli	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Mason Thompson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

St. Louis Cardinals

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Steven Matz	SP	Back	60-Day IL
Keynan Middleton	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Nick Robertson	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Riley O'Brien	RP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Tommy Edman	SS	Wrist	60-Day IL
Drew Rom	SP	Biceps	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Washington Nationals

Opponent	Score	W/L
San Diego	L 3-0	L
San Diego	L 12-3	L
San Diego	L 4-0	L
St. Louis	W 10-8	W
St. Louis	W 14-3	W

St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent	Score	W/L
Washington	L 14-3	L
Washington	L 10-8	L
Pittsburgh	L 5-0	L
Pittsburgh	W 2-1	W
Pittsburgh	L 2-1	L

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Prediction

Given the current form of Paul Goldschmidt and the pitching struggles of DJ Herz, the prop bet for Goldschmidt to record over 1.5 total bases at +100 looks appealing. Goldschmidt has been consistent and productive, and against a pitcher with a near 5.00 ERA, he has a strong chance to exceed this total.

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