MLB Player Props Odds Today: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/29

Photo Credit: © Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Seattle Mariners will bring their three-game road winning streak to Fenway Park as they face off against the Boston Red Sox on Monday, July 29, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. This game is crucial for both teams as they battle for playoff positions in their respective divisions. The Mariners, with a record of 56-51, are currently second in the AL West, while the Red Sox, at 55-49, hold the third spot in the AL East.

In their most recent matchups, the Mariners have managed to secure a 2-2 tie in the season series against the Red Sox. The Mariners have shown a solid performance on the road with a 25-28 record, while the Red Sox have been slightly better at home with a 25-27 record.

The Mariners have been propelled by strong performances from players like Cal Raleigh, who has recorded 22 home runs and 66 RBIs this season. Julio Rodriguez has also been on fire, hitting .438 with three home runs and seven RBIs over the last 10 games. On the other side, the Red Sox will be looking to their top performers, Jarren Duran and Tyler O'Neill, to provide the offensive spark. Duran has an impressive 31 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs, while O'Neill is hitting .357 with six home runs over the past 10 games.

Both teams are coming off contrasting recent performances. The Red Sox have struggled with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, with a team ERA of 6.51, while the Mariners have fared slightly better with a 4-6 record and a stellar team ERA of 2.33.

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Player Prop Odds

Nick Pivetta - Pitcher Record a Win: Yes (+235), No (-340)

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Player Analysis

Nick Pivetta will take the mound for the Boston Red Sox. This season, Pivetta has had a mixed performance with a 4-7 record, a 4.50 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP over 84.0 innings pitched. He has tallied 102 strikeouts against 21 walks, showcasing his ability to generate strikeouts while maintaining control. However, Pivetta has also allowed 15 home runs, which has contributed to his relatively high ERA.

Despite these challenges, Pivetta has shown flashes of brilliance, such as his ability to limit walks and strike batters out at a high rate. His performance will be crucial for the Red Sox as they look to secure a win against a hot Mariners team.

Opposing Analysis

The Mariners' offense will be a key factor in this matchup. Seattle's lineup includes heavy hitters like Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez, who have been pivotal in the Mariners' recent success. Raleigh, with 22 home runs, leads the team in RBIs with 66, while Rodriguez has been on a tear, hitting .438 over the last 10 games.

The Mariners' offense, however, has been inconsistent at times, with the team batting just .196 over their last 10 games. If Pivetta can exploit these inconsistencies and keep the Mariners' key hitters in check, he could provide the Red Sox with a much-needed strong outing from the mound.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Logan Gilbert (SEA)	6-6	2.72	0.86	139.0	94	132	26	15
Nick Pivetta (BOS)	4-7	4.50	1.18	84.0	78	102	21	15

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Team Previews

Seattle Mariners

The Seattle Mariners have been a strong team this season, with a record of 56-51. They have a solid offense, ranking 3rd in hits with 931 and 8th in runs with 499. Their team batting average of .258 is also among the best in the league. The Mariners' pitching has been effective as well, with a team ERA of 3.91, ranking 13th overall. Defensively, they lead the league with 78 errors.

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have had their ups and downs this season, sitting at 55-49. Their offense has struggled, ranking 30th in hits with 761 and 28th in runs with 412. Their team batting average of .218 is also one of the lowest in the league. However, the Red Sox's pitching has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.35, ranking 1st overall. They have committed 59 errors, placing them 9th in the league defensively.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jorge Polanco	2B	Knee	Probable for Jul 29
J.P. Crawford	SS	Hand	10-Day IL
Julio Rodriguez	CF	Ankle	10-Day IL
Dominic Canzone	OF	Abductor	10-Day IL
Sam Haggerty	OF	Achilles	60-Day IL
Matt Brash	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Jackson Kowar	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Justin Slaten	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
Vaughn Grissom	2B	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
Bryan Mata	RP	Hamstring	60-Day IL
Chris Martin	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Triston Casas	1B	Rib	60-Day IL
Garrett Whitlock	RP	Oblique	60-Day IL
Trevor Story	SS	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Liam Hendriks	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Chris Murphy	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Lucas Giolito	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Houston	L 3-0	L
Sat, Jul 20	vs Houston	L 4-2	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs Houston	W 6-4	W
Mon, Jul 22	vs Los Angeles	L 3-1	L
Tue, Jul 23	vs Los Angeles	L 5-1	L

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 (11)	L
Sun, Jul 21	@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
Mon, Jul 22	@ Colorado	L 9-8 (12)	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Colorado	W 6-0	W

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Prediction

Given Nick Pivetta's recent struggles and the Mariners' strong form, it will be a challenging outing for him. However, considering the Red Sox's need for a win and Pivetta's ability to strike out batters, we predict that he will step up in this crucial game.