MLB Player Props Odds Today: Guardians vs Phillies 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 5:00:02 AM
MLB Player Props Odds Today: Guardians vs Phillies 7/28
Photo Credit: © Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians (62-42, first in the AL Central) face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (65-39, first in the NL East) on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. This game serves as the rubber match in a three-game series, with each team having secured one win so far. The Phillies, boasting a strong home record of 38-17, aim to leverage their home-field advantage to clinch the series. Philadelphia has been one of the most consistent teams in the league, ranking fourth in team on-base percentage at .328.
Meanwhile, the Guardians have been competitive on the road with a 29-27 record. Cleveland's offense has shown flashes of brilliance, ranking eighth in the AL with a team slugging percentage of .395. Notably, Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 24 home runs, while Bryce Harper has been the standout performer for the Phillies, tallying 22 doubles and 24 home runs this season.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+295), Under 0.5 (-450)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+185), Under 1.5 (-260)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-500)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145), Under 0.5 (-200)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-900)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110), Under 1.5 (-120)
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Player Analysis
Trea Turner has been a crucial component of the Phillies lineup this season. With a combination of power and speed, Turner is a threat in multiple facets of the game. He has consistently contributed across the board, making him an interesting candidate for several player prop bets. Turner's current season stats include a batting average of .298, 12 home runs, and 28 stolen bases.
One notable aspect of Turner's game is his ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities. This season, he has a .356 on-base percentage and has scored 72 runs. His versatility as a hitter makes him a viable option for both over/under bets on hits and total bases.
Opposing Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff will have their work cut out for them in containing Turner. Expected to start for the Guardians is Joey Cantillo, who is relatively untested at the major league level. Cantillo's lack of experience could play into Turner's favor, as the Philadelphia star has a history of feasting on inexperienced pitchers.
Additionally, the Guardians bullpen, while generally reliable, has shown some vulnerabilities in recent games. They rank 10th in saves but have experienced some inconsistency, which could provide Turner with additional opportunities late in the game.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo (PHI) | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Kolby Allard (CLE) | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians have been solid overall, with a 62-42 record. Offensively, they rank 5th in hits (899) and 6th in runs scored (501). Their team batting average of .256 is the 4th best in the league. The pitching staff has been impressive with a team ERA of 3.46, ranking 2nd overall. However, their bullpen has shown inconsistency, ranking 10th in saves (27).
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have an impressive 65-39 record, with a strong home performance at 38-17. Offensively, they are tied for 20th in hits (819) but have a decent run tally at 474 (13th overall). Their team batting average stands at .241, ranking 16th. Their pitching staff has been strong, with a team ERA of 3.63, ranking 4th overall. The bullpen is tied for 1st in saves (37).
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | RP | 15-Day IL (undisclosed) |
| Matthew Boyd | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Shane Bieber | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Trevor Stephan | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| James Karinchak | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | Day-to-day (ankle) |
| Ranger Suarez | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | 60-Day IL (ankle) |
| Spencer Turnbull | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | 15-Day IL (index finger) |
| Dylan Covey | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Detroit | L 8-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Detroit | W 2-1 | W |
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs Detroit | L 3-0 | L |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Philadelphia | W 3-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Philadelphia | L 8-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 28 | @ Philadelphia | 1:35 PM | -- |
Prediction
Considering Trea Turner's consistent performance and the lack of experience of the Guardians' starting pitcher Joey Cantillo, betting on Turner to score a run might be a viable option. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes the over 0.5 runs scored at -135 odds an attractive pick.
Pick: Over 0.5 runs scored (-135)
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