MLB Player Props Odds Today: Braves vs Mets - 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:30:49 AM
MLB Player Props Odds Today: Braves vs Mets - 7/28
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (55-48) will take on the New York Mets (55-49) in a crucial NL East showdown at Citi Field, New York, on Sunday, July 28th, at 1:40 p.m. EDT. The Mets currently lead the series 2-1 and will be looking to clinch it with another strong performance. Both teams are in a tight race for positioning within the division, making this game pivotal.
Recent performances have shown the Mets with a slight edge, having gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, compared to the Braves' 3-7 record. Historically, these teams have been evenly matched this season, with the Mets holding a narrow 5-4 lead in the season series.
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Player Prop Odds
Orlando Arcia:
- Hits Over 0.5: -140
- RBIs Over 0.5: +220
- Runs Scored Over 0.5: +130
- Singles Over 0.5: +110
- Total Bases Over 1.5: +220
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Player Analysis
Orlando Arcia has been a reliable contributor for the Braves, batting .254 with 22 doubles, two triples, and 13 home runs this season. Over the past 10 games, Arcia has maintained a solid approach at the plate, contributing significantly to the team’s offensive output. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial for the Braves in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
The Mets' pitching staff, led by probable starter David Peterson, has been effective this season. Peterson boasts a 5-0 record with a 3.14 ERA and 36 strikeouts over 48.2 innings. However, his 1.48 WHIP indicates that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could be an opportunity for Arcia to capitalize.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lopez (Braves) | 7-4 | 2.12 | 1.19 | 101.2 | 85 | 100 | 36 | 7 |
| D. Peterson (Mets) | 5-0 | 3.14 | 1.48 | 48.2 | 49 | 36 | 23 | 5 |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have shown strength in their pitching staff, ranking second in the NL with a 3.50 ERA. Offensively, they rank 5th in runs scored with 504 and 11th in batting average at .249. Their bullpen has also been reliable, with 28 saves ranking 9th in the league. However, fielding has been a concern, as they have committed 70 errors, the third most in the league.
New York Mets
The Mets have been solid overall, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking third in the league. Offensively, they have been average, with a .240 batting average and 428 runs scored, ranking 18th and 21st respectively. Their bullpen has contributed 26 saves, placing them 14th in the league. Defensively, they have been better than the Braves, with only 45 errors committed.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | OF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Kodai Senga | SP | 15-Day IL (calf) |
| Shintaro Fujinami | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Dedniel Nunez | RP | 15-Day IL (pronator) |
Recent Games
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Braves' Last 5 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/24 | vs Cincinnati | L 9-4 | L |
| 7/24 | vs Cincinnati | Postponed | - |
| 7/25 | @ New York | L 3-2 F/10 | L |
| 7/26 | @ New York | L 8-4 | L |
| 7/27 | @ New York | W 4-0 | W |
Mets' Last 5 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/23 | @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
| 7/24 | @ New York | W 12-3 | W |
| 7/25 | vs Atlanta | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
| 7/26 | vs Atlanta | W 8-4 | W |
| 7/27 | vs Atlanta | L 4-0 | L |
Prediction
Considering the current form and pitching matchups, the prop bet for Orlando Arcia to get over 0.5 hits at -140 odds seems like a solid choice. Arcia has been consistent at the plate, and with David Peterson allowing a decent number of baserunners, Arcia should have opportunities to get on base.
Pick: Orlando Arcia Over 0.5 Hits (-140)
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