MLB Player Props Odds Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

MLB Player Props Odds Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets face off in a pivotal NL East matchup on Friday, July 26, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is slated to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT. Both teams are neck-and-neck in the standings, with the Braves holding a 54-47 record and the Mets at 54-48. This game could have significant playoff implications as both teams vie for a higher position in the division.

Recently, the Braves have struggled, losing their last five games, including a heartbreaking 3-2 loss in extra innings to the Mets on Thursday. On the other hand, the Mets have been in better form, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and coming off a dramatic 3-2 win over the Braves in their previous matchup.

Historically, these teams have had tight contests, with the Mets leading the season series 4-3 so far. The Braves have been solid on the road with a 24-26 record, whereas the Mets have a respectable 27-26 record at home. The Braves are known for their power, ranking fourth in the NL with 115 home runs, while the Mets rely on timely hitting and strong pitching to secure victories.

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Player Prop Odds

Brandon Nimmo Player Props:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+430)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+300)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-125)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135)

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Player Analysis

Brandon Nimmo has been an essential part of the Mets' lineup this season. Known for his ability to get on base, Nimmo has posted a solid .259 batting average with 11 home runs and 63 RBIs. His plate discipline and speed make him a threat both on the base paths and in the outfield. Over the past 10 games, Nimmo has been particularly effective, contributing crucial hits and runs for the Mets.

In the previous game against the Braves, Nimmo went 2-for-4, including a double and a run scored. His ability to come through in clutch situations has been evident, and he will be a key player to watch in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

Brandon Nimmo will be facing Braves' pitcher Charlie Morton, who has had an up-and-down season with a 5-5 record, 3.92 ERA, and 101 strikeouts over 103.1 innings pitched. Morton's experience and ability to generate strikeouts make him a challenging opponent, but he has also been susceptible to giving up hits and home runs.

The Braves' bullpen has been decent but not spectacular, with a team ERA of 4.15. This could provide opportunities for Nimmo to capitalize if he can work deep into counts and get on base against Morton.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Charlie Morton	Braves	5-5	3.92	101
Kodai Senga	Mets	0-0	--	--

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have been a strong offensive team, ranking 9th in hits (876) and 6th in runs (496), with a team batting average of .249. They have also shown power, ranking fourth in the NL with 115 home runs. However, their pitching has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.15, and their defense has struggled, committing 70 errors, which ranks third in the league.

New York Mets

The Mets have relied on a balanced approach with a solid pitching staff and timely hitting. They have a team ERA of 3.50, ranking third in the league, and have committed only 43 errors, indicating strong defensive play. Offensively, they have a .240 team batting average, with 818 hits and 424 runs scored, which places them in the middle of the pack. However, they have shown the ability to score in bunches, as evidenced by their record in games where they score five or more runs.

Team Injuries

Braves Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	OF	60-Day IL (hamstring)
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL (wrist)
Max Fried	P	15-Day IL (forearm)
Spencer Strider	P	60-Day IL (elbow)
Ronald Acuna Jr.	OF	60-Day IL (knee)

Mets Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Harrison Bader	OF	Day-to-day (ankle)
Christian Scott	P	15-Day IL (elbow)
Brooks Raley	P	60-Day IL (elbow)
Starling Marte	OF	10-Day IL (knee)
Kodai Senga	P	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Braves

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Thu, Jul 25	@ New York	2-3	L
Wed, Jul 24	vs Cincinnati	4-9	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs Cincinnati	1-4	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs St. Louis	2-6	L
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	5-9	L

Mets

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Thu, Jul 25	vs Atlanta	3-2	W
Wed, Jul 24	@ New York	12-3	W
Tue, Jul 23	@ New York	3-2	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ Miami	6-4	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Miami	2-4	L

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Prediction

Considering Brandon Nimmo's recent form and favorable matchup against Charlie Morton, we expect him to have a productive game. Given the odds, the best value appears to be on Nimmo to exceed 1.5 total bases at +135. His ability to get extra-base hits and his recent performance make this a solid bet.

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