MLB Player Props Odds: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians 7/21

Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The San Diego Padres (51-50, third in the NL West) will face off against the Cleveland Guardians (59-38, first in the AL Central) on Sunday, July 21, 2024, at Progressive Field in Cleveland. This series rubber match promises to be an exciting conclusion to the three-game set, with both teams looking to secure a series victory. The Guardians, who have been strong at home with a 31-12 record, will be eager to maintain their dominant form at Progressive Field.

On the other hand, the Padres, who are 25-22 on the road, will aim to build on their recent win and improve their overall standing. The Guardians have shown power at the plate, ranking eighth in the AL with 109 total home runs, while the Padres have demonstrated a respectable slugging percentage of .406, ranking sixth in the NL. The matchup will feature Michael King (7-6, 3.41 ERA, 129 strikeouts) for the Padres and Ben Lively (8-5, 3.58 ERA, 78 strikeouts) for the Guardians, setting the stage for a thrilling pitching duel.

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Odds and Betting Lines

• Moneyline: Guardians -112, Padres -107
• Over/Under: 8 runs

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Michael King (SD)	7-6	3.41	1.23	129
Ben Lively (CLE)	8-5	3.58	1.17	78

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Team Previews

San Diego Padres

Hitting: The Padres have a collective .406 slugging percentage, ranking sixth in the NL. Key hitters include Jake Cronenworth, who leads the team with 14 home runs and a .438 slugging percentage, and Donovan Solano, who is 13-for-38 with four doubles and two RBIs over the last 10 games. The team has recorded 461 runs, ranking 10th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The Padres bullpen has been solid, with the team achieving 34 saves, ranking second in the league. The relievers have a combined ERA of 3.68, placing them sixth in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Padres have committed 51 errors, ranking 15th in the league. Their fielders have been reliable overall but have room for improvement.

Starting Pitchers: Michael King, who will start for the Padres in this game, holds a record of 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 129 strikeouts. His performance will be crucial for the Padres' success in this matchup.

Cleveland Guardians

Hitting: The Guardians lead the league with 891 hits and boast a team batting average of .260, ranking second. Jose Ramirez is a standout performer with 23 home runs and a .513 slugging percentage. Steven Kwan is another key player, hitting 10-for-39 with a double over the last 10 games.

Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has recorded 24 saves, ranking 17th in the league. Their combined ERA stands at 4.15, which is 20th in the league.

Fielding: The Guardians have committed 48 errors, ranking 20th in the league. Their fielding has been solid but has room for improvement.

Starting Pitchers: Ben Lively, who will start for the Guardians, has an 8-5 record with a 3.58 ERA and 78 strikeouts. His performance will be instrumental in securing a victory for the Guardians.

Team Injuries

San Diego Padres

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Wandy Peralta	RP	Adductor	15-Day IL
Joe Musgrove	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Tom Cosgrove	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Fernando Tatis Jr.	RF	Quadricep	10-Day IL
Luis Patino	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Sam Hentges	RP	Undisclosed	15-Day IL
Matthew Boyd	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Shane Bieber	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Trevor Stephan	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
James Karinchak	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL

Recent Games

San Diego Padres

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Cleveland	L 7-0	L
@ Cleveland	W 7-0	W

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	W 7-0	W
vs San Diego	L 7-0	L

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Team Rankings

Category	Padres	Guardians
Hitting	21st (777 hits)	1st (891 hits)
Runs	10th (461 runs)	11th (455 runs)
Batting Average	16th (.242)	2nd (.260)
Saves	2nd (34 saves)	17th (24 saves)
ERA	6th (3.68 ERA)	20th (4.15 ERA)
Errors	15th (51 errors)	20th (48 errors)

Prediction

The Padres and Guardians both have potent offenses and have shown the ability to score runs in bunches. With Michael King and Ben Lively both having respectable but not dominant ERAs, this game has the potential to see more than 8 runs scored. The Padres' recent batting form and the Guardians' strong hitting lineup suggest that the over is a reasonable pick for this game.

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David Peralta Player Props

Market	Point	Over Odds	Under Odds
Batter Doubles	0.5	+380	N/A
Batter Hits	1.5	+250	N/A
Batter RBIs	0.5	+200	N/A
Batter Runs Scored	0.5	+135	N/A
Batter Singles	0.5	-145	N/A
Batter Total Bases	1.5	+145	N/A

Analysis and Prediction

David Peralta has been a consistent performer for the Padres, and his ability to get on base makes his player props intriguing for this matchup. With odds of +250 for over 1.5 hits, Peralta has a good chance to exceed this mark given his recent form. Additionally, his total bases prop set at 1.5 with +145 odds is another attractive option. Considering Peralta's hitting prowess, betting on the over for both hits and total bases could yield positive returns.

David Peralta has shown the capability to deliver multiple-hit games, and with the Padres needing offensive production, he is likely to get multiple opportunities at the plate. Betting on Peralta to achieve over 1.5 hits at +250 offers good value.

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