MLB Player Props Matchups: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox (7/29)

MLB Player Props Matchups: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox (7/29)

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Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Seattle Mariners (56-51, second in the AL West) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (55-49, third in the AL East) at Fenway Park on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Mariners are currently riding a three-game road win streak and will look to continue their momentum against a Red Sox team that has struggled recently.

Boston has a 55-49 overall record and is 25-27 at home. The Red Sox have shown a clear trend where they excel when they out-hit their opponents, boasting a 42-6 record in such games. The Mariners, on the other hand, have a 56-51 overall record and are 25-28 in road games. They have a similar trend, going 41-6 when out-hitting their opponents.

In their last 10 games, the Red Sox have struggled, going 3-7 with a .295 batting average but a concerning 6.51 ERA. They have been outscored by 21 runs in this span. The Mariners have fared slightly better, going 4-6 with a .196 batting average and a commendable 2.33 ERA, outscoring their opponents by five runs.

Historically, the season series between these two teams is tied at 2-2, setting up an exciting clash at Fenway Park. Key performers to watch include Jarren Duran for the Red Sox, who has 31 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs this season. Tyler O'Neill has been on fire for the Mariners, going 15-for-42 with three doubles and six home runs over the past 10 games. Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez also continue to make significant contributions for Seattle.

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Player Prop Odds

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+285)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+330)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-125)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+130)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-105)

Player Analysis

Tyler O'Neill has been a standout performer for the Mariners, especially in the last 10 games where he has gone 15-for-42 (.357) with three doubles and six home runs. His recent form suggests he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact, which bodes well for his chances to hit the over on several prop bets.

This season, O'Neill has consistently demonstrated power and the ability to drive in runs. With 22 home runs and 66 RBIs, he has been a key contributor to the Mariners' offense. His slugging percentage and on-base percentage also indicate that he is not just a home run threat but can get on base and score runs, making him a valuable asset in multiple prop markets.

Opposing Analysis

Nick Pivetta will be on the mound for the Red Sox. He has had an up-and-down season with a 4-7 record, a 4.50 ERA, and 102 strikeouts. While Pivetta has shown the ability to strike batters out, he has also been prone to giving up the long ball, which plays into O'Neill's strengths.

Pivetta's WHIP of 1.18 suggests that he allows a fair number of base runners, which could provide O'Neill with opportunities to drive in runs and score. Given O'Neill's recent form and Pivetta's vulnerabilities, this matchup looks favorable for the Mariners' slugger.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Logan Gilbert	Mariners	6-6	2.72	132
Nick Pivetta	Red Sox	4-7	4.50	102

Team Previews

Seattle Mariners

The Seattle Mariners come into this game with a 56-51 record and are in second place in the AL West. Their offense has been one of the best in the league, ranking third in hits (931) and eighth in runs (499). They have a team batting average of .258, which also ranks third.

On the pitching side, the Mariners have a team ERA of 3.91, ranking 13th in the league. Their bullpen has been solid with 27 saves, tied for 11th. Defensively, they lead the league with 78 errors, which has been a concern.

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have a 55-49 record and are third in the AL East. Offensively, they have struggled, ranking 30th in hits (761) and 28th in runs (412) with a team batting average of .218, which ranks 29th.

Their pitching has been a strength, however, with a team ERA of 3.35, the best in the league. Their bullpen has also been reliable, with 29 saves, tied for eighth. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, tied for ninth fewest in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Jorge Polanco	2B	Knee	Probable for Jul 29
Justin Slaten	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
Vaughn Grissom	2B	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9

Recent Games

Seattle Mariners

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	W10-0	W
@ Chicago	W6-3	W
@ Chicago	W6-3	W
vs Los Angeles	L2-1	L
vs Los Angeles	L5-1	L

Boston Red Sox

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York	L8-2	L
vs New York	L11-8 F/10	L
vs New York	W9-7	W
@ Colorado	L20-7	L
@ Colorado	W6-0	W

Prediction

Pick: Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Given Tyler O'Neill's recent hot streak and Nick Pivetta's susceptibility to giving up hits and home runs, the over 1.5 total bases for O'Neill at -105 seems like a solid bet. O'Neill has been consistently getting on base and hitting for power, making this prop a favorable option.