MLB Player Props Matchups: Blue Jays vs Orioles 7/29

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:10:48 AM
MLB Player Props Matchups: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
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Photo Credit: © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On Monday, July 29th, the Toronto Blue Jays will face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Scheduled for a 3:05 PM EDT start, this game marks the seventh meeting between the two teams this season, with the series currently tied at 3-3.
The Baltimore Orioles are currently leading the AL East with a 62-43 record and an impressive home record of 31-24. The Orioles' hitters have been a revelation this season, boasting a collective .315 on-base percentage, the fifth-best in the American League. Despite recent struggles, going 5-5 in their last ten games with a .246 batting average and a 4.70 ERA, they remain a force to reckon with.
The Toronto Blue Jays, on the other hand, are enduring a challenging season with a 49-56 record, placing them fifth in the AL East. They have a subpar 23-28 record on the road but are currently riding high on a three-game win streak. The Blue Jays have shown resilience, especially in games where they haven't given up a home run, boasting a 16-7 record in such scenarios. Over the past ten games, they have a 6-4 record, hitting .269 but with a worrisome 5.40 ERA.
Top performers to watch include Anthony Santander for the Orioles, who has racked up 16 doubles, two triples, 29 home runs, and 68 RBIs while maintaining a .240 batting average. For the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continues to be a standout with 22 doubles, 19 home runs, and a .301 batting average.
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Player Prop Odds
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Kevin Kiermaier Player Props for July 29:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+495), Under 0.5 (-1004)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (-101)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+287), Under 0.5 (-454)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+184), Under 0.5 (-264)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+114), Under 0.5 (-157)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (-101)
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Player Analysis
Kevin Kiermaier has been a pivotal player for the Blue Jays this season. Known for his stellar defense in center field, Kiermaier has also contributed significantly with the bat. Over the season, he has maintained a solid batting average, showing consistency in getting on base. In his last few games, Kiermaier has shown flashes of brilliance, which makes his player props particularly interesting for this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Kiermaier will be the Orioles' starting pitcher, Zach Eflin. Eflin has had an up-and-down season with a 5-7 record and a 4.09 ERA over 110.0 innings pitched. While Eflin has shown the ability to strike out batters (87 Ks), he has also been prone to giving up hits (115 hits allowed). This could be an opportunity for Kiermaier to capitalize on Eflin's inconsistencies.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 1-3 | 3.69 | 1.26 | 39.0 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 3 |
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 5-7 | 4.09 | 1.16 | 110.0 | 115 | 87 | 13 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays have a strong batting lineup, ranking 6th in hits (915) and 4th in runs scored (522). They maintain a solid .252 batting average, ranking 9th in the league. Key hitters include Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer, who have been consistent performers this season.
Relief Pitching: The Blue Jays' bullpen has been reliable, with 33 saves (tied for 5th). However, they have struggled with consistency, as evidenced by their 5.40 ERA over the last ten games.
Fielding: Toronto's defense has been average, committing 51 errors, which ranks them 20th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: The Blue Jays' starting rotation has been solid overall, with a combined ERA of 3.79, ranking 8th in the league. Yariel Rodriguez, with a 3.69 ERA, will look to provide a strong start against the Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles
Hitting: The Orioles have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in hits (824) and 25th in runs scored (430). However, they have shown flashes of power with players like Anthony Santander leading the charge with 29 home runs.
Relief Pitching: Baltimore's bullpen has been decent, with 25 saves (tied for 17th). Their recent ERA of 4.70 over the last ten games indicates some areas of concern.
Fielding: The Orioles' defense has been better than average, committing 58 errors, ranking 12th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin, who has a 4.09 ERA, will take the mound for the Orioles. Despite his record, Eflin has had some strong outings and will look to silence the Blue Jays' bats.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | 10-Day IL |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | INF | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Alek Manoah | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | SS | Elbow | 10-Day IL |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | UCL Sprain | 60-Day IL |
| Tyler Wells | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| John Means | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Felix Bautista | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L 7-3 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Prediction
Given the recent form and the matchups, the prediction for this game tilts slightly in favor of the Orioles. With Zach Eflin on the mound, Baltimore will look to exploit the Blue Jays' inconsistencies on the road. However, the Blue Jays, riding on a three-game win streak, will be no pushovers.
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