MLB Player Props Market: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
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MLB Player Props Market: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

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MLB Player Props Market: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

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Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the second game of their series on July 27, 2024, at Chase Field in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks currently lead the series 1-0 after a narrow 4-3 victory in the first game. This matchup features teams with similar records, as the Pirates stand at 52-51, placing them third in the NL Central, while the Diamondbacks hold a 54-50 record, good for third in the NL West.

Both teams have shown strong recent performances. The Diamondbacks have a respectable 27-24 record at home and have excelled in games where they score five or more runs, boasting a 41-10 record in such contests. Meanwhile, the Pirates have a 26-25 record on the road and possess the sixth-ranked team ERA in the NL at 3.78.

Key players to watch include Corbin Carroll for the Diamondbacks, who has accumulated 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs. For the Pirates, Oneil Cruz has been a standout with 21 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs. Both teams have been performing well over their last 10 games, with each posting a 7-3 record. The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .254 and an ERA of 3.64 during this span, while the Pirates have a batting average of .258 and an impressive ERA of 2.53.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Oneil Cruz:

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-450)
  • Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+180)
  • Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+390)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+195), Under 0.5 (-275)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-150), Under 0.5 (+115)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140), Under 0.5 (+105)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-150), Under 1.5 (+115)

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Player Analysis

Oneil Cruz has been a key contributor for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. With a batting average of .249, he has managed to hit 15 home runs and drive in 51 RBIs. Cruz has shown a knack for extra-base hits, as evidenced by his 21 doubles. His recent form has been solid, going 14-for-38 with a double, a home run, and five RBIs over the last 10 games.

Oneil Cruz's ability to impact the game in multiple ways makes him a player to watch. His power and speed combination allows him to turn singles into doubles and go deep when needed. The prop odds reflect his potential to contribute in various aspects, from hitting home runs to scoring runs.

Opposing Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks will counter with Brandon Pfaadt on the mound. Pfaadt has a 4-6 record with a 3.74 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 120.1 innings pitched. His WHIP of 1.11 indicates good control and the ability to limit base runners. However, he has allowed 14 home runs this season, which could play into Cruz's strength as a power hitter.

Overall, the Diamondbacks' pitching staff has been solid, ranking 11th in the league with a team ERA of 3.78. Their bullpen has also been effective, with 26 saves on the season, tied for 14th in the league. Limiting Cruz's impact will be crucial for Arizona, especially with their ace, Zac Gallen, not on the mound tonight.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Marco Gonzales (ARI) 1-1 2.70 1.28 26.2 28 19 6 1
Brandon Pfaadt (PIT) 4-6 3.74 1.11 120.1 106 111 27 14

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a balanced team that combines solid hitting with effective pitching. They rank 8th in the league in hits (888) and 3rd in runs scored (513). Their batting average of .253 is also good for 8th in the league. The Pirates' pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league, but they have managed to limit the damage with timely pitching and defense.

Key players to watch include Oneil Cruz, Bryan Reynolds, and Ke'Bryan Hayes. Reynolds, in particular, has been on a hot streak, going 14-for-38 with a double, a home run, and five RBIs over the last 10 games. The Pirates' bullpen has also been reliable, with 24 saves on the season, tied for 19th in the league.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a strong home record of 27-24 and have been effective in games where they score five or more runs. They rank 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs scored (425), with a team batting average of .232. However, their pitching has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league.

Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte have been key contributors on offense. Marte, especially, has been on fire, going 14-for-35 with a double and four home runs over the last 10 games. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has also been solid, with 26 saves, tied for 14th in the league.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Bailey Falter RP Fri, Jul 26 Arm 15-Day IL
Daulton Jefferies SP Fri, Jul 26 Elbow 15-Day IL
Jared Jones SP Fri, Jul 26 Lat 15-Day IL
Ryan Borucki RP Fri, Jul 26 Tricep 60-Day IL
Dauri Moreta RP Fri, Jul 26 Elbow 60-Day IL
Endy Rodriguez C Fri, Jul 26 Elbow 60-Day IL
Johan Oviedo SP Fri, Jul 26 Elbow 60-Day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Merrill Kelly SP Sat, Jul 27 Shoulder 60-Day IL
Kyle Nelson RP Sat, Jul 27 Shoulder 60-Day IL
Eduardo Rodriguez SP Sat, Jul 27 Shoulder 60-Day IL
Drey Jameson RP Sat, Jul 27 Elbow 60-Day IL

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent Score W/L
vs Philadelphia W8-7 W
vs Philadelphia W4-1 W
vs Philadelphia L6-0 L
vs St. Louis W2-1 W
vs St. Louis L2-1 L

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent Score W/L
@ Chicago W5-2 W
@ Chicago W3-0 W
@ Chicago L2-1 F/10 L
@ Kansas City L10-4 L
@ Kansas City W6-2 W

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Prediction

Given Oneil Cruz's recent form and his ability to produce extra-base hits, the prop bet for

Over 0.5 Home Runs at +390
offers significant value. Cruz's power and the fact that Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 14 home runs this season make this a compelling bet.

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Winnings $78,844
last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
Top Sport NBA
W-L-D 2210 - 1660 - 26
Winnings % 56%
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last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1786 - 1741 - 144
Winnings % 48%