MLB Player Props Market: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 27, 2024, 12:21:09 PM
MLB Player Props Market: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27
Game Summary
On July 27, 2024, the Miami Marlins will face the Milwaukee Brewers in the second game of their three-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The game is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM EDT. The Marlins come into this matchup with a 38-66 record, sitting fifth in the NL East, while the Brewers boast a 59-44 record, leading the NL Central. This game marks the fifth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Marlins leading the season series 3-1.
Milwaukee has a strong home record of 29-18 and performs exceptionally well when they manage to record eight or more hits in a game, holding a 44-16 record in such scenarios. In contrast, the Marlins have struggled on the road with a 16-32 record. However, they hold a solid 28-12 record when they outhit their opponents. The Brewers have shown resilience in their last 10 games, going 5-5 with a team ERA of 3.13, while the Marlins have been slightly better, going 6-4 with a team ERA of 3.70.
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Player Prop Odds
For Marlins' infielder Xavier Edwards, here are some key prop odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+475)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+270), Under 0.5 (-400)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130), Under 0.5 (-175)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-148)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+340), Under 0.5 (-550)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+160), Under 1.5 (-215)
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Player Analysis
Xavier Edwards has been a bright spot for the Miami Marlins in recent games. Over his last 10 games, Edwards is hitting .424 (14-for-33) with six RBIs. His ability to get on base and produce runs has been crucial for the Marlins, especially given their overall struggles this season. Edwards' discipline at the plate and speed make him a threat to score and steal bases, which adds value to his player props such as runs scored and stolen bases.
Opposing Analysis
The Milwaukee Brewers will send Aaron Civale to the mound, who currently holds a 2-7 record with a 5.17 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Civale has struggled this season, particularly against teams that can capitalize on his high WHIP. The Marlins, who rank 7th in hits (890) and 6th in batting average (.254), are well-positioned to exploit Civale's weaknesses. Additionally, Civale has allowed 21 home runs in 102.2 innings pitched, making him susceptible to giving up big hits.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 2-0 | 2.12 | 0.82 | 17.0 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 2 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 2-7 | 5.17 | 1.40 | 102.2 | 107 | 102 | 36 | 21 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins: The Marlins rank 7th in hits (890) and 6th in batting average (.254). Their offense is led by Bryan De La Cruz, who has 18 home runs and a slugging percentage of .417. The team's pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th in the league. However, their relief pitching has been a weak point, highlighted by their 44 losses.
Milwaukee Brewers: The Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in runs (374) and 20th in batting average (.236). William Contreras has been a standout performer with 11 home runs and 26 doubles. On the mound, the Brewers have a team ERA of 4.48, ranking 25th. Their pitching staff has been plagued by injuries, including key players like Christian Yelich and Devin Williams.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Zastryzny | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Devin Williams | RP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Xavier Edwards (+160)
Given Xavier Edwards' recent form and Aaron Civale's struggles on the mound, there is a strong likelihood that Edwards will surpass 1.5 total bases. Civale's high WHIP and propensity to give up home runs provide a favorable matchup for Edwards, who has been hitting exceptionally well over the last 10 games.
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Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
