MLB Player Props Market: Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox 7/29
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 3:18:46 AM
MLB Player Props Market: Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox 7/29
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Photo Credit: © Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Kansas City Royals will face off against the Chicago White Sox on July 29th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. This game will see the Royals' Chris Flexen going up against the White Sox's Alec Marsh. The Royals have been struggling this season with a 27-81 record, placing them last in their division. They have particularly struggled on the road, with a dismal 10-44 away record. On the other hand, the White Sox are in a relatively better position with a 57-49 record and a solid 36-22 home record.
The Royals have had a tough time offensively, ranking 30th in runs and batting average. Their pitching hasn't fared much better, with a team ERA of 4.67, ranking 29th in the league. In contrast, the White Sox's offensive stats are more respectable, with a team batting average of .250, ranking 10th, and they have scored the 12th most runs in the league. Their pitching has also been more reliable, with a team ERA of 3.81, placing them in the top 10.
Recent matchups have favored the White Sox, who have won four of their last five games against the Royals. This game will be an interesting matchup given the stark contrast in team performance and individual player stats.
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Player Prop Odds
The player prop odds for Freddy Fermin are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+220)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115)
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Player Analysis
Freddy Fermin has been one of the bright spots for the Kansas City Royals this season. With a batting average of .280 and significant contributions in terms of RBIs and runs, Fermin has shown that he can be a reliable hitter. He has recorded multiple hits in several games this season and has been particularly effective in driving in runs when given the opportunity.
Fermin's ability to hit doubles and accumulate total bases has been noteworthy. With the odds favoring over 0.5 doubles at +370 and over 1.5 total bases at +115, there's value in betting on these props given his recent form and stats.
Opposing Analysis
Alec Marsh will be on the mound for the Chicago White Sox. Marsh has a 7-7 record with a 4.75 ERA this season. While his ERA suggests he's been somewhat hittable, his WHIP of 1.24 indicates he can limit base runners. However, the Royals' hitters have had success against pitchers with similar profiles this season.
The White Sox bullpen has been solid but not invincible, ranking in the middle of the pack in terms of ERA and WHIP. This provides an opportunity for Fermin to capitalize on any mistakes, especially if he faces relief pitchers in the later innings.
Pitching Probables
Here are the pitching probables for both teams:
- Alec Marsh (CHW): 7-7, 4.75 ERA, 90 Ks
- Chris Flexen (KC): 2-10, 5.25 ERA, 78 Ks
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Team Previews
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals rank 30th in batting average (.217) and runs scored (330). Andrew Vaughn leads the team with a .234 average and 45 RBIs, while Paul DeJong has hit 18 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Royals' bullpen has struggled, with a team ERA of 4.67. Their relief pitchers have found it difficult to maintain leads and close out games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Royals have committed 64 errors, ranking them 5th in the league for most errors committed.
Starting Pitchers: Chris Flexen's 5.25 ERA and 2-10 record reflect the struggles of the Royals' starting rotation this season.
Chicago White Sox
Hitting: The White Sox have been solid offensively, ranking 10th in batting average (.250) and 12th in runs scored (490). Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team with a .341 average, while Salvador Perez has driven in 71 runs and hit 19 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a strength for the White Sox, with a team ERA of 3.81. Their relievers have been effective in holding leads and closing out games.
Fielding: The White Sox have committed 50 errors, ranking them 24th in the league for fewest errors committed.
Starting Pitchers: Alec Marsh has been a reliable starter with a 4.75 ERA and a 7-7 record. His ability to limit base runners with a 1.24 WHIP has been crucial for the White Sox.
Team Injuries
Kansas City Royals
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Taylor | RP | Mon, Jul 29 | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Chicago White Sox
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Neck | Out for the season |
| Matt Foster | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 7-1 | W |
| Chicago | 6-1 | W |
| Chicago | 4-1 | W |
| Arizona | 10-4 | W |
| Arizona | 6-2 | L |
Chicago White Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | 7-1 | L |
| Kansas City | 6-1 | L |
| Kansas City | 4-1 | L |
| Texas | 4-3 (F/10) | L |
| Texas | 3-2 | L |
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Prediction
For today's game, we believe Freddy Fermin has a good chance to go over 0.5 singles. With odds at -140, this is a solid bet considering his recent form and the pitching matchup against Alec Marsh. Fermin has shown he can deliver in clutch situations, and against a hittable pitcher like Marsh, the odds are in his favor.
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