MLB Player Props: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/26

- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:33:14 PM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros
Photo Credit: © Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers will face off against the Houston Astros on July 26th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. This game is crucial for both teams as they are in the thick of the playoff race. The Dodgers come into this game with a 53-49 record, while the Astros hold a 62-42 record. The Dodgers have been especially strong at home with a 28-21 record but have struggled a bit on the road with a 25-28 record. On the other hand, the Astros have been excellent both at home (34-20) and on the road (28-22).
Recent matchups between these two teams have been highly competitive. The Astros have won four of their last five games against the Dodgers, making them a formidable opponent. Both teams have been hot recently, with the Dodgers winning six of their last ten games and the Astros winning seven of their last ten. The Dodgers' offense has been potent, ranking second in hits (916) and batting average (.261), while the Astros' pitching staff ranks ninth in ERA (3.75).
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Player Prop Odds
Freddie Freeman has several player prop odds available for this game:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370), Under 0.5 (-600)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180), Under 0.5 (-255)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125), Under 0.5 (-170)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140), Under 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135), Under 1.5 (-185)
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Player Analysis
Freddie Freeman has been one of the most consistent hitters for the Dodgers this season. Freeman is hitting .307 with 20 home runs and 54 RBIs. He has also scored 74 runs, showcasing his ability to get on base and score. Freeman’s batting average ranks him among the top hitters in the league, and his power numbers make him a constant threat at the plate.
Freeman has been particularly good against right-handed pitchers, hitting .312 with 15 home runs. His performance at the plate has been a key factor in the Dodgers' offensive success this season. With his ability to hit for both average and power, Freeman is a valuable asset in the Dodgers lineup.
Opposing Analysis
The Astros will be sending Framber Valdez to the mound. Valdez has been a solid pitcher for the Astros this season, with an 8-5 record and a 3.63 ERA. He has struck out 88 batters in 104 innings pitched. However, Valdez has occasionally struggled with control, walking 36 batters this season. Opposing hitters are hitting .242 against him, which suggests that he can be hit.
Valdez has had mixed results against left-handed hitters like Freeman. Lefties are hitting .267 against him, and he has allowed three home runs to left-handed batters this season. This could bode well for Freeman, who has been very effective against left-handed pitching.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 9-3 | 3.19 | 79 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 8-5 | 3.63 | 88 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been a powerful offensive team this season, ranking second in hits (916) and batting average (.261). They have scored 478 runs, ranking them 10th in the league. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a 4.02 ERA, ranking 17th. The Dodgers' fielding has been less impressive, with 43 errors, ranking 28th in the league.
Houston Astros
The Astros have been one of the best teams in the league this season. They rank fifth in hits (888), second in runs scored (510), and sixth in batting average (.253). Their pitching staff has been excellent, with a 3.75 ERA, ranking ninth in the league. The Astros' fielding has been average, with 51 errors, ranking 18th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | LF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 4 |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Blair Henley | SP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Boston | W 4-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Boston | W 7-6 (11) | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Boston | W 9-6 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs San Francisco | W 3-2 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Francisco | W 5-2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Seattle | W 3-0 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Seattle | W 4-2 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Seattle | L 6-4 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Oakland | L 4-0 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Oakland | L 8-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given Freddie Freeman’s consistency and the fact that he has been excellent against left-handed pitchers like Valdez, I recommend taking the Over 1.5 Total Bases prop at +135. Freeman is likely to get multiple hits in this game, making this a solid bet.
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