MLB Player Props Lines Today: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 29, 2024, 3:08:50 AM
MLB Player Props Lines Today: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
Photo Credit: © Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners head to Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox on July 29. Both teams are currently in the thick of the playoff race, with the Mariners holding a record of 55-51 and the Red Sox at 56-51. This game could have significant implications for the wild card standings in the American League.
The Mariners have been solid on the road with a record of 30-22, while the Red Sox have been strong at home at 31-23. Historically, the Red Sox have had the edge over the Mariners in recent matchups, but this season's form suggests a more balanced contest.
Nick Pivetta will start for the Red Sox, sporting a 4-7 record with a 4.50 ERA. On the other side, Logan Gilbert will be on the mound for the Mariners, who has a 6-6 record and an impressive 2.72 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
Dominic Smith Prop Bets:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-500)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-185), Under 0.5 (+135)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+215), Under 0.5 (-310)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155), Under 0.5 (-215)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-185), Under 0.5 (+135)
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Player Analysis
Dominic Smith has shown flashes of brilliance this season. His batting average stands at a respectable .258, and he has displayed the ability to come up with clutch hits. Smith's recent form has seen him increase his productivity at the plate, making him a key player for the Mariners in this matchup.
Smith has a knack for driving in runs and getting on base, which makes the over on his prop bets an intriguing option. He has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, which bodes well against Nick Pivetta, who has struggled with consistency this season.
Opposing Analysis
Nick Pivetta's season has been a mixed bag. With a 4.50 ERA and a 4-7 record, he has struggled to find consistency. His WHIP of 1.18 suggests that he allows a fair amount of baserunners, which could be advantageous for Dominic Smith and the Mariners. Pivetta has also allowed 15 home runs this season, further highlighting his vulnerability.
On the flip side, the Red Sox bullpen has been relatively strong, with a 3.35 ERA and 29 saves. However, if the Mariners can get to Pivetta early, they could put the Red Sox under significant pressure.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gilbert | 6-6 | 2.72 | 0.86 | 139.0 | 94 | 132 | 26 | 15 |
| N. Pivetta | 4-7 | 4.50 | 1.18 | 84.0 | 78 | 102 | 21 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have been a competitive team this season, with a balanced approach that includes strong hitting and solid pitching. They rank 3rd in hits with 931 and 8th in runs scored with 499. Their team batting average of .258 is also impressive, ranking 3rd in the league. The bullpen has been reliable, with 27 saves and a team ERA of 3.91, placing them 13th overall.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox, meanwhile, have struggled offensively, ranking 30th in hits with 761 and 28th in runs scored with 412. Their team batting average is a low .218, ranking 29th. However, their pitching has been a strong suit, with an ERA of 3.35, the best in the league. The bullpen has contributed 29 saves, ranking 8th.
Team Injuries
Seattle Mariners
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. PolancoJorge Polanco | 2B | Sun, Jul 28 | Knee | Probable for Jul 29 |
Boston Red Sox
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. SlatenJustin Slaten | RP | Sun, Jul 28 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| V. GrissomVaughn Grissom | 2B | Sun, Jul 28 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
Seattle Mariners
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Houston | L3-0 | 52-47 | Brown 8-6 | Castillo 8-10 | Hader 19 | 40948 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Houston | L4-2 | 52-48 | Scott 7-3 | Stanek 6-3 | Hader 20 | 38017 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Houston | W6-4 | 53-48 | Woo 4-1 | Blanco 9-5 | Munoz 16 | 35038 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles | L3-1 | 53-49 | Garcia 5-1 | Thornton 3-2 | Estevez 19 | 22528 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Los Angeles | L5-1 | 53-50 | Soriano 6-7 | Gilbert 6-6 | NaN | 26496 |
Boston Red Sox
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L4-1 | 53-43 | Yarbrough 4-2 | Bernardino 3-3 | Hudson 5 | 51562 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L7-6 F/11 | 53-44 | Treinen 3-2 | Weissert 2-2 | NaN | 48129 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L9-6 | 53-45 | Paxton 8-2 | Crawford 6-8 | Hudson 6 | 50824 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | L9-8 F/12 | 53-46 | Lawrence 3-3 | Horn 0-1 | NaN | 35261 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | W6-0 | 54-46 | Criswell 4-4 | Blach 3-6 | NaN | 36553 |
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Prediction
Given Dominic Smith's recent form and Nick Pivetta’s inconsistency, the prop bet for Dominic Smith to get over 0.5 hits at -185 offers good value. Smith has been reliable at the plate and facing a pitcher like Pivetta, who has allowed a fair amount of hits and home runs, increases his chances of getting on base.
Pick: Over 0.5 hits for Dominic Smith (-185)
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