MLB Player Props Lines Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/28
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:35:47 AM
MLB Player Props Lines Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/28
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Mets will host the Atlanta Braves on Sunday at Citi Field in Queens, New York, with the first pitch scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. This game marks the tenth meeting of the season between these two NL East rivals, with the Mets currently leading the season series 5-4. The Mets have an overall record of 55-49 and a home record of 28-27, while the Braves stand at 55-48 overall and 25-27 on the road. New York has been remarkable in games where they did not allow a home run, boasting a 25-10 record in such instances. Meanwhile, the Braves' pitching staff has been dominant, with a collective ERA of 3.50, ranking second in the National League.
The recent form of both teams paints an interesting picture. The Mets are 6-4 in their last ten games, with a .238 batting average and a 3.74 ERA. They have outscored their opponents by seven runs during this span. On the other hand, the Braves have struggled, going 3-7 in their last ten games, hitting .213 with a 4.44 ERA, and being outscored by 17 runs.
The Mets' offense has been led by Pete Alonso, who has 24 doubles, 20 home runs, and 53 RBIs while hitting .241 for the season. Jose Iglesias has also been hot, going 14-for-36 with a double, a triple, and two home runs over the last ten games. For the Braves, Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna have been key contributors. Riley has 22 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs, and 40 RBIs while hitting .251, while Ozuna is 13-for-35 with four home runs over the past ten games.
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Player Prop Odds
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Pete Alonso Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles 0.5: Over +440
- Batter Hits 0.5: Over -165
- Batter Home Runs 0.5: Over +400
- Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +150
- Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over -110
- Batter Singles 0.5: Over +130
- Batter Total Bases 1.5: Over +140
Player Analysis
Pete Alonso has been a cornerstone of the Mets' offense this season. With 24 doubles, 20 home runs, and 53 RBIs while hitting .241, Alonso has shown his capability to change the game's dynamics with his bat. Over his past 10 games, Alonso has been consistent, contributing significantly to the Mets' offensive output. His power-hitting ability is underscored by his 20 home runs, making him a constant threat to go deep in any at-bat.
Opposing Analysis
For the Braves, Reynaldo Lopez will be taking the mound. Lopez has been one of the most effective pitchers in the league, boasting a 7-4 record with a stellar 2.12 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 101.2 innings pitched. However, the Braves' bullpen has shown vulnerability, and given the Mets' current form, Alonso has a good chance to capitalize on any mistakes.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lopez (ATL) | 7-4 | 2.12 | 1.19 | 101.2 | 85 | 100 | 36 | 7 |
| D. Peterson (NYM) | 5-0 | 3.14 | 1.48 | 48.2 | 49 | 36 | 23 | 5 |
Team Previews
The Braves have a strong pitching staff, with a collective ERA of 3.50, ranking second in the National League. Their offense has also been productive, ranking fifth in the NL with 504 runs scored. However, they have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last ten games.
The Mets, on the other hand, have a solid record at home (28-27) and are currently leading the season series against the Braves. Their offense has been led by Pete Alonso and Jose Iglesias, with the team hitting .240 and scoring 428 runs this season.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Probable for Jul 28 (Ankle) |
| Kodai Senga | SP | Out for the season (Calf) |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (Hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (Wrist) |
Recent Games
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Braves Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | W 4-0 | W |
| @ New York | L 8-4 | L |
| @ New York | L 3-2 F/10 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L 9-4 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | Postponed | P |
Mets Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Atlanta | L 4-0 | L |
| vs Atlanta | W 8-4 | W |
| vs Atlanta | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
| @ New York | W 12-3 | W |
| @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Considering Pete Alonso's recent form and the vulnerabilities in the Braves' bullpen, the best value pick appears to be Pete Alonso to hit a home run at +400. His power-hitting ability and the current odds make this a high-reward bet.
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