MLB Player Props Lines: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 11:49:30 AM
MLB Player Props Lines: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers face off in the second game of their series at American Family Field on July 27, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Brewers, who currently sit at the top of the NL Central with a 59-44 record, are looking to bounce back after a loss in the series opener. The Marlins, with a 38-66 record and struggling at the bottom of the NL East, managed to claim victory in Game 1 and will be looking to build on this momentum.
Historically, the Brewers have shown dominance at home with a 29-18 record, while the Marlins have struggled on the road, holding a 16-32 record. This is the fifth matchup between these two teams this season, with the Marlins leading the series 3-1. Milwaukee has a strong offense, boasting a 44-16 record in games where they record eight or more hits. Conversely, the Marlins have a 28-12 record when they out-hit their opponents, showing their reliance on getting runners on base and capitalizing on scoring opportunities.
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While the Brewers' offense has hit a bit of a skid with a .223 batting average over their last 10 games, their pitching has kept them competitive with a 3.13 ERA. Similarly, the Marlins have been more efficient offensively, batting .279 over their last 10 games, paired with a solid 3.70 ERA from their pitchers.
Player Prop Odds
Nick Gordon Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
Nick Gordon Batter RBIs: Under 0.5 (-400), Over 0.5 (+270)
Nick Gordon Batter Runs Scored: Under 0.5 (-295), Over 0.5 (+205)
Nick Gordon Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+130)
Nick Gordon Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (+105)
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Player Analysis
Nick Gordon has been a reliable presence for the Brewers, showcasing his ability to get on base and drive in runs. With an over/under of 0.5 hits and total bases, Gordon has consistently proven that he can exceed these marks with his contact hitting skills. His recent performances suggest favorable odds for achieving over 0.5 total bases (-135) and over 0.5 hits (-165).
Opposing Analysis
The Marlins' pitching staff, led by Max Meyer, has been reasonably effective this season. Meyer's ERA of 2.12 and WHIP of 0.82 over 17 innings pitched show his capability to limit opposing hitters. However, the Brewers' offense, despite recent struggles, has the potential to create scoring opportunities, making Gordon's prop bets appealing for bettors.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 2-0 | 2.12 | 14 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 2-7 | 5.00 | 102 |
Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have struggled this season with a 38-66 record, ranking low in various team statistics. Offensively, they are 17th in hits with 831 and 29th in runs scored with 374, highlighting their difficulties in generating offense. Their pitching staff, however, has been more respectable with an ERA of 4.48, ranking 25th in the league. The Marlins' defense has been a concern, leading the league with 75 errors.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have been stronger overall, boasting a 59-44 record. They rank 6th in ERA at 3.72 and 3rd in saves with 35, showing the strength of their bullpen. Offensively, they have performed well with 890 hits, ranking 7th, and have managed to score 489 runs, ranking 8th. Their defense has been solid with only 55 errors, tied for 14th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | OF | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Eury Perez | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Sandy Alcantara | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Zastryzny | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Christian Yelich | OF | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Oliver Dunn | INF | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Enoli Paredes | RP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Robert Gasser | SP | 60-Day IL (flexor) |
| D.L. Hall | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Joe Ross | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| J.B. Bukauskas | RP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
| Wade Miley | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Devin Williams | RP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Brandon Woodruff | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | 0-1 | L |
| vs New York | 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | 4-6 | L |
| vs Baltimore | 6-3 | W |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | 8-4 | W |
| @ Minnesota | 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | 1-3 | L |
| @ Chicago | 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 hits (-165) for Nick Gordon. With Gordon's consistent ability to get on base and the Marlins' recent pitching struggles, this prop bet offers favorable odds.
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