MLB Player Props Lines and Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:27:17 AM
MLB Player Props Lines and Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-51, third in the NL Central) will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50, third in the NL West) at Chase Field in Phoenix on Saturday, July 27, at 8:10 p.m. EDT. This game marks the second meeting between these two teams in the current series, with the Diamondbacks holding a 1-0 series lead.
Arizona boasts a respectable home record of 27-24 and an overall record of 54-50. The Diamondbacks have a strong track record when scoring five or more runs, winning 41 out of 51 games in such scenarios. On the other hand, Pittsburgh has a slightly above .500 record on the road at 26-25 and an overall record of 52-51. The Pirates have the sixth-best team ERA in the National League, standing at 3.78.
Corbin Carroll has been a standout performer for the Diamondbacks, tallying 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs. Ketel Marte has also been in excellent form, going 14-for-35 with a double and four home runs over the last 10 games. For the Pirates, Oneil Cruz has accumulated 21 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs, while Bryan Reynolds has been hot, going 14-for-38 with a double, a home run, and five RBIs over the last 10 games.
Both teams have been in decent form over their last 10 games, each going 7-3. The Diamondbacks have posted a .254 batting average and a 3.64 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 17 runs. Meanwhile, the Pirates have a .258 batting average and an impressive 2.53 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 14 runs.
Injuries will play a role in this matchup. The Diamondbacks are dealing with several key injuries, including Blake Walston (elbow) on the 15-day IL and Merrill Kelly (shoulder), Kyle Nelson (shoulder), Eduardo Rodriguez (shoulder), and Drey Jameson (elbow) on the 60-day IL. The Pirates are also missing important players, including Bailey Falter (arm) and Daulton Jefferies (elbow) on the 15-day IL, and Jared Jones (lat), Ryan Borucki (tricep), Dauri Moreta (elbow), Endy Rodriguez (elbow), and Johan Oviedo (elbow) on the 60-day IL.
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Player Prop Odds
Joey Bart Player Props:
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -135.0
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +270.0 / Under 0.5: -375.0
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +230.0 / Under 0.5: -350.0
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: +165.0 / Under 0.5: -225.0
- Batter Total Bases Over 0.5: -110.0 / Under 0.5: -120.0
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Player Analysis
Joey Bart has had a challenging season so far but has shown flashes of his potential. With a batting average of .249, he has managed to accumulate 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. Bart's performance has been somewhat inconsistent, but he has had some critical moments that have helped the team.
In his last 10 games, Bart has been more disciplined at the plate, focusing on making contact and driving in runs. His ability to get on base and make crucial plays in key moments will be vital for the Pirates in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
The Arizona Diamondbacks will be starting Brandon Pfaadt, who has had a solid season. Pfaadt has a 4-6 record with a 3.74 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 120.1 innings pitched. He has been effective in limiting hits and runs, maintaining a 1.11 WHIP.
The Diamondbacks' bullpen has also been reliable, with key relievers stepping up in crucial situations. However, they have shown vulnerabilities in high-pressure scenarios, and Bart could capitalize on these moments.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.27 | 26.2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 106 | 111 | 27 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been performing well this season, with a team batting average of .253, ranking 8th in the league. They have accumulated 888 hits and 513 runs, making them a formidable offensive unit. Their pitching staff has also been solid, with a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league.
The Pirates' relief pitching has been a mixed bag, with some relievers showing consistency while others have struggled. Their fielding has been relatively strong, with only 42 errors, ranking 30th in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have had a challenging season offensively, with a team batting average of .232, ranking 25th in the league. They have accumulated 807 hits and 425 runs. Their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league.
The Diamondbacks' relief pitching has been reliable, with key relievers stepping up in crucial situations. Their fielding has been solid, with 50 errors, ranking tied for 21st in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
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Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Joey Bart Over 0.5 Hits (-135)
Based on Joey Bart's recent form and his season statistics, betting on him to get at least one hit in this game seems like a solid pick. Although he has had some ups and downs, Bart has proven his ability to make contact and get on base. With Brandon Pfaadt starting for the Diamondbacks, Bart will have opportunities to exploit any weaknesses in Pfaadt's pitching. The odds of -135 for Over 0.5 Hits offer good value for a player of Bart's caliber.
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