MLB Player Props Lines and Odds: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/29

Mr Wager
Jul 29, 2024, 4:14:27 PM

Photo Credit: © Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The New York Yankees (62-45, second in the AL East) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (65-40, first in the NL East) in the first game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 6:40 p.m. EDT.

Philadelphia has been dominant at home with a 38-18 record and overall strong performance having a 65-40 record. The Phillies have a remarkable 46-6 record in games where they score five or more runs, underscoring their potent offense.

On the other hand, the Yankees boast a solid road record of 35-22 and an overall record of 62-45. The Yankees excel in games where they outhit their opponents, holding a 49-9 record in such scenarios.

This marks the first meeting between these two teams this season, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup. Key players to watch include Bryce Harper for the Phillies, who has tallied 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs, and Aaron Judge for the Yankees, who boasts 37 home runs, 84 walks, and 96 RBIs while hitting .314.

The Phillies will send Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.55 ERA, 133 strikeouts) to the mound, while the Yankees will counter with Luis Gil (10-5, 3.10 ERA, 124 strikeouts). The Phillies are favored with a -150 line, while the Yankees are +126 underdogs. The over/under for the game is set at nine runs.

Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Alex Verdugo:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+240)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115)

Player Analysis

Alex Verdugo has been a consistent presence for the Yankees this season. While his overall batting average of .237 might not jump off the page, he has provided crucial hits in key moments. Verdugo has accumulated 93 hits in 392 at-bats, including 10 home runs and 48 RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset in the Yankees' lineup.

Looking at his recent form, Verdugo is coming off a solid stretch where he has shown an ability to contribute both in terms of power and contact. His recent performance will be crucial as the Yankees look to kick off this series on a positive note.

Opposing Analysis

Zack Wheeler has been a standout pitcher for the Phillies this season, boasting a 10-4 record with a stellar 2.55 ERA and 133 strikeouts. Wheeler's ability to limit runs and strike out batters makes him a formidable opponent for any hitter, including Verdugo.

The Phillies' bullpen has also been solid, with a combined ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth in the league. This means that even if Verdugo manages to get on base against Wheeler, the Phillies' relievers will present another challenge.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler	PHI	10-4	2.55	133
Luis Gil	NYY	10-5	3.10	124

Team Previews

New York Yankees

The Yankees have a strong lineup, highlighted by Aaron Judge, who is hitting .314 with 37 home runs and 96 RBIs. The team ranks fifth in hits (916) and runs (512), and fourth in batting average (.256). Their pitching staff has also been exceptional, with a team ERA of 3.43, second-best in the league.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have the best offense in the league, ranking first in runs (539). Bryce Harper leads the charge with 24 home runs and 67 RBIs. The Phillies' pitching staff, led by Zack Wheeler, has been solid with a team ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Jose Trevino	C	10-Day IL (quadricep)
Nick Burdi	RP	60-Day IL (hip)
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Anthony Rizzo	1B	60-Day IL (wrist)

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
vs New York	L 3-2	L

Philadelphia Phillies

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Pittsburgh	L 8-7	L
@ Pittsburgh	L 4-1	L
@ Pittsburgh	W 6-0	W
@ Minnesota	L 7-2	L
@ Minnesota	W 3-0	W

Prediction

Considering Zack Wheeler's dominant pitching and the Phillies' strong bullpen, Alex Verdugo will likely face a tough challenge. However, Verdugo's recent form and his ability to get crucial hits make him a valuable player prop bet.

Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-120)

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