MLB Player Props: Juan Yepez in Nationals vs Cardinals 7/28

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:39:14 AM
MLB Player Props Matchups: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals

Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals on July 28th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. This game features an intriguing matchup between two National League teams with differing fortunes this season. The Nationals, currently with a record of 53-51, are slightly above .500 and looking to solidify their position for a possible playoff push. On the other hand, the Cardinals find themselves at 49-56, struggling to gain consistency throughout the season.
Both teams come into this game with recent mixed results. The Nationals have won two straight games against the Cardinals, including a 14-3 rout, showcasing their offensive potential. The Cardinals, however, will be eager to bounce back after such a heavy defeat. Historically, the Cardinals have had an edge over the Nationals, especially when playing at Busch Stadium, but recent form suggests this contest will be closely fought.
The game will feature starting pitchers DJ Herz for the Cardinals and Miles Mikolas for the Nationals. Herz, with a 4.95 ERA and a 1-4 record, will aim to improve his stats in front of the home crowd. Mikolas, with an 8-8 record and a 5.02 ERA, will look to stabilize the Nationals' pitching and secure another win for his team.
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Player Prop Odds
For this game, let's look at the player prop odds for Juan Yepez of the St. Louis Cardinals:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-525)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+150), Under 0.5 (-205)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+140), Under 0.5 (-195)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120), Under 1.5 (-165)
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Player Analysis: Juan Yepez
Juan Yepez has been a crucial part of the Cardinals' offense this season. With a batting average of .280 and 15 home runs, he has demonstrated his ability to hit for both average and power. His versatility at the plate allows him to contribute in multiple ways, whether it be driving in runs, scoring runs himself, or getting on base through singles and extra-base hits. His recent form has been promising, and he will look to continue this trend against the Nationals.
Opposing Analysis: Washington Nationals Pitching
Miles Mikolas, the probable starter for the Nationals, has shown mixed results this season. With an 8-8 record and a 5.02 ERA, Mikolas has experienced both highs and lows. He tends to give up hits, as evidenced by the 126 hits allowed in 118.1 innings pitched. However, he also has the capability to strike out batters, with 80 strikeouts to his name. The Nationals' bullpen has been relatively strong, with 37 saves, but their overall team ERA of 4.00 ranks them in the middle of the pack. This presents an opportunity for Yepez to exploit any mistakes made by Mikolas and the relief pitchers.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Herz | 1-4 | 4.95 | 1.40 | 36.1 | 40 | 45 | 11 | 8 |
| M. Mikolas | 8-8 | 5.02 | 1.23 | 118.1 | 126 | 80 | 19 | 18 |
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Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals rank 15th in hits (859) and 22nd in runs scored (426). Their batting average of .245 is 14th in the league, indicating a respectable offensive capability. However, their defense has been shaky, with 46 errors ranking them 26th. The Nationals' pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, which places them 17th overall. Key players to watch include Alec Burleson, leading the team with a .287 average, and Nolan Gorman, who has 19 home runs and 60 RBIs.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have struggled offensively, ranking 22nd in hits (815) and 20th in runs scored (433). Their batting average sits at .237, which is 19th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, ranking them 9th. The pitching staff has an ERA of 4.22, placing them 22nd overall. Key players include Luis Garcia Jr., who leads the team with a .280 average, and CJ Abrams, who has 15 home runs and 50 RBIs.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Weems | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| C. Cavalli | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. O'Brien | RP | Sun, Jul 28 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Recent Games
Washington Nationals
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Cincinnati | W 8-5 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Cincinnati | W 5-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Cincinnati | W 5-2 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Diego | L 4-0 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Diego | L 12-3 | L |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | L 3-2 F/10 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | W 9-5 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Atlanta | W 6-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Pittsburgh | L 2-1 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Based on Juan Yepez's recent form and the inconsistency of Miles Mikolas, the Over 1.5 Total Bases at +120 presents good value. Yepez has the ability to get multiple hits or extra-base hits, and with Mikolas allowing a significant number of hits per game, this prop bet is well worth considering.
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