MLB Player Props: Jeimer Candelario - Reds vs Rays 7/26
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:51:21 PM
MLB Player Props: Jeimer Candelario - Reds vs Rays 7/26
Photo Credit: © Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays on July 26th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. This matchup promises to be an exciting one, as both teams have been performing well recently. The Reds are coming off a series win against the Atlanta Braves and currently hold a record of 52-51, while the Rays have a record of 49-53 after a dominant performance against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Historically, the Reds have had mixed results against the Rays, making this game a critical one for both teams as they aim to improve their standings. With Tropicana Field being an indoor venue, weather conditions are not a concern, and we can expect optimal playing conditions for this game.
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Player Prop Odds
Jeimer Candelario:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360), Under 0.5 (-600)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+475), Under 0.5 (-900)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155), Under 0.5 (-215)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125), Under 0.5 (-170)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105), Under 0.5 (-130)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130), Under 1.5 (-175)
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Player Analysis
Jeimer Candelario has been a key player for the Reds this season, showcasing his power and consistency at the plate. With a batting average of .250, he leads the team in home runs (16) and RBIs (55). His performance has been instrumental in the Reds' recent successes, and he will be a player to watch in this matchup against the Rays.
Candelario's ability to hit for power and drive in runs makes his player props particularly intriguing. Given his recent form, the prop for Candelario to hit over 0.5 RBIs at +155 presents good value. Additionally, his prop for total bases over 1.5 at +130 is another appealing option, considering his slugging capabilities.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Candelario will be the Rays' starting pitcher, Shane Baz. Baz has shown promise with an ERA of 3.95, but his limited experience in the majors could be a disadvantage against a seasoned hitter like Candelario. The Rays' bullpen has been solid overall, but they have had moments of inconsistency, which could play into the Reds' favor if they can get to Baz early.
The Rays' pitching staff will need to be at their best to contain Candelario and the rest of the Reds' lineup. Given Baz's tendency to allow hits (17 in 13.2 innings), there is potential for Candelario to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 8-3 | 3.51 | 89 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 0-1 | 3.95 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have been average in terms of hitting this season, ranking 26th in hits (790) and 27th in runs (400). However, their power-hitting ability, led by Candelario, has been a bright spot. The team’s pitching has been reliable with an ERA of 4.21, but they will need to be at their best to contain the Rays’ offense.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have struggled with consistency, ranking 28th in hits (772) and 14th in runs (456). Their pitching has been their strength, with an ERA of 3.86. The absence of key players like Wander Franco (out for the season) adds to their challenges. Shane Baz, their probable pitcher, will need to step up to give the Rays a chance against the Reds.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | SP | Shoulder | Out until Sep 1 |
| Luke Maile | C | Back | Out until Jul 26 |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | Out until Jul 26 |
| Wander Franco | SS | Personal | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Washington | 5-8 | L |
| Jul 20 | @ Washington | 4-5 | L |
| Jul 21 | @ Washington | 2-5 | L |
| Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 24 | @ Atlanta | 9-4 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ New York | 1-6 | L |
| Jul 20 | @ New York | 9-1 | W |
| Jul 21 | @ New York | 6-4 | W |
| Jul 22 | @ New York | 1-9 | L |
| Jul 23 | @ Toronto | 4-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 RBIs (+155)
Jeimer Candelario has been a consistent run producer for the Reds, and given Shane Baz's relative inexperience and the Rays' recent pitching struggles, Candelario is well-positioned to drive in at least one run in this game. The odds of +155 provide good value for this prop bet.
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