MLB Player Props Insights: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins - 7/25

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 7:46:16 AM
MLB Player Props Insights: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins - 7/25
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Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On July 25th, the Baltimore Orioles (60-41, first in the AL East) will face the Miami Marlins (37-65, fifth in the NL East) at loanDepot park in Miami at 12:10 p.m. EDT. The Orioles are on a three-game road losing streak and hope to turn things around against the struggling Marlins, who have an overall record of 37-65 and a home record of 22-33. Baltimore, boasting a 30-19 record on the road, ranks seventh in MLB with a .252 team batting average. This game marks the third meeting of the season between the two teams.
The Marlins' Jazz Chisholm has been a standout performer with 14 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs. Xavier Edwards is also in fine form, hitting 14-for-33 with a double over the last 10 games. For the Orioles, Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .285 batting average, 19 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs, 50 walks, and 63 RBIs. Anthony Santander has been hot lately, going 13-for-40 with four home runs and nine RBIs in the past 10 games.
Recent form shows the Marlins at 5-5 in their last 10 games with a .287 batting average and a 4.14 ERA, while the Orioles have struggled at 3-7 with a .228 batting average and a 4.86 ERA. Both teams have key players on the injury list, potentially impacting their performance.
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Player Prop Odds
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Anthony Santander:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+220)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+340)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-105)
Player Analysis
Anthony Santander has been one of the most consistent hitters for the Baltimore Orioles this season. With a batting average of .285, 28 home runs, and 66 RBIs, Santander is a key player in the Orioles' lineup. Over the past 10 games, he has been particularly effective, going 13-for-40 with four home runs and nine RBIs. His recent form suggests he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact, which bodes well for his chances of hitting the over on several of his player props.
Opposing Analysis
Roddery Munoz will be the starting pitcher for the Miami Marlins. Munoz has struggled this season, with a 1-5 record and a 5.14 ERA. He has also allowed 49 hits and 15 home runs over 56 innings pitched. The Marlins' bullpen hasn't been much better, with the team ranking 26th in ERA at 4.49. This presents a favorable matchup for Santander, who could capitalize on the Marlins' pitching woes.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 101 | 116 | 29 | 14 |
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 1.39 | 56.0 | 49 | 47 | 29 | 15 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have a strong lineup, featuring players like Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander, who have been driving their offense. Baltimore's pitching staff is led by Corbin Burnes, who has been exceptional this season with a 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts over 124.2 innings. The Orioles' bullpen, however, has been a weak spot, with a team ERA of 4.49.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins' season has been a struggle, with a 37-65 record. Jazz Chisholm and Bryan De La Cruz are notable offensive players, with Chisholm leading in RBIs and De La Cruz in home runs. The pitching staff, led by Roddery Munoz, has been inconsistent, contributing to their high ERA and poor win-loss record.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Wed, Jul 24 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 13 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
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Baltimore Orioles
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W 9-1 | 59-38 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W 8-4 | 60-38 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | 60-39 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | 60-40 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | 60-41 |
Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | 34-63 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | 34-64 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | 35-64 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | 35-65 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | 36-65 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | 37-65 |
Prediction
Pick: Anthony Santander Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Anthony Santander has been in excellent form recently, and with the favorable matchup against Roddery Munoz and the Marlins' bullpen, he is likely to accumulate at least two total bases. Given his recent hitting streak and the Marlins' pitching struggles, this prop bet offers good value.
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