MLB Player Props Handicapping: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals - 7/27

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:41:30 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals
Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals are set to face the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:15 p.m. EDT. The Nationals lead the series 1-0 after a thrilling 10-8 victory in extra innings. The Cardinals, with a 53-50 record, are second in the NL Central, while the Nationals, at 48-56, are fourth in the NL East. St. Louis has a solid home record of 26-23, while Washington has struggled on the road with a 25-29 record.
In the last 10 games, the Cardinals have gone 5-5 with a .266 batting average and a 4.14 ERA, outscoring their opponents by four runs. The Nationals have had a slightly better run, going 6-4, but their .239 batting average and 5.20 ERA indicate some struggles, as they have been outscored by nine runs. Historically, the Cardinals lead the season series 3-2 against the Nationals.
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Player Prop Odds
For Lars Nootbaar:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-185)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+165)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140)
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Player Analysis
Lars Nootbaar has been a consistent contributor for the St. Louis Cardinals this season. With a batting average of .278, 15 home runs, and 50 RBIs, he has been a key offensive player for the team. In the last 10 games, Nootbaar has shown his prowess at the plate, consistently getting on base and driving in runs. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a valuable asset in the Cardinals' lineup.
Opposing Analysis
Jake Irvin, the probable starting pitcher for the Nationals, has been solid this season with a 7-8 record, a 3.44 ERA, and 106 strikeouts over 123 innings. Irvin has been proficient at keeping hitters off balance, but the Cardinals' lineup, which ranks eighth in the NL with a .245 batting average, could pose a significant challenge. The Nationals' bullpen, which has a 4.00 ERA, will also need to be sharp to contain the Cardinals' hitters.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Irvin (WAS) | 7-8 | 3.44 | 1.09 | 123.0 | 105 | 106 | 29 | 16 |
| K. Gibson (STL) | 7-3 | 3.99 | 1.32 | 108.1 | 100 | 102 | 43 | 13 |
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Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have had a challenging season, currently holding a 48-56 record. Offensively, they rank 14th in the league with a .245 batting average and have scored 426 runs, ranking 22nd. Defensively, their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.00, ranking 17th in the league, with 50 losses and 37 saves, tied for first. Fielding has been a concern, with 46 errors ranking 26th in the league.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals, with a 53-50 record, have been a competitive force in the NL Central. Their hitters have accumulated 815 hits, ranking 22nd, and have a collective batting average of .237, ranking 19th. The pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, ranking 22nd, and has recorded 29 saves, ranking 8th. Defensively, the Cardinals have committed 59 errors, tied for 9th in the league.
Team Injuries
Washington Nationals
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weems | RP | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Cade Cavalli | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley O'Brien | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Recent Games
Washington Nationals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cincinnati | W 8-5 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | W 5-2 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 4-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 12-3 | L |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Atlanta | L 3-2 F/10 | L |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-5 | W |
| @ Atlanta | W 6-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 2-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 2-1 | W |
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Prediction
Lars Nootbaar has been a consistent contributor for the Cardinals, and given his recent form, he is poised to make an impact in this game. Considering Jake Irvin's solid performance but the Cardinals' ability to hit effectively, the prop bet of Lars Nootbaar getting over 1.5 total bases at +140 odds seems like a valuable pick. Nootbaar's ability to hit for extra bases and his recent offensive contributions make this a strong bet.
Pick: Over 1.5 total bases (+140)
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