MLB Player Props Handicapping: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles (7/29)

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:25:31 PM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles (7/29)
Photo Credit: © James A. Pittman-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 29th. The Blue Jays, boasting a 62-43 record, are currently one of the top teams in the league, ranking 4th in wins and 8th in ERA. On the other hand, the Baltimore Orioles have been struggling with a 49-56 record, placing them among the lower tiers in the league rankings.
The Blue Jays' recent form has shown a mix of wins and losses, with their last 10 games resulting in 5 wins and 5 losses. Notably, their offensive lineup has been performing well, with the team ranking 6th in hits and 4th in runs. However, they will need to bring their A-game as they face the Orioles on their home turf.
The Orioles have had a more challenging season, highlighted by their 27th rank in ERA and 20th in batting average. Despite these struggles, they have managed to pull off some wins against strong opponents, making them a potential threat. Their recent games include a few notable wins, proving they can be competitive when everything clicks.
This matchup will see Cade Povich taking the mound for Toronto, sporting a 1-4 record with a 6.27 ERA. For the Orioles, Bowden Francis will be starting, coming in with a 3-2 record and a 5.82 ERA. Both pitchers have had their ups and downs, and it will be interesting to see how they perform under the spotlight.
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Player Prop Odds
Connor Norby Player Props:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-150)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+180)
Player Analysis
Connor Norby has been a consistent performer for the Orioles, showcasing his ability to get on base and contribute offensively. With a batting average of .283, Norby has proven to be a reliable hitter, making him a valuable asset in the lineup. This season, he has also contributed significantly in terms of RBIs and runs scored, showing his knack for being involved in key plays.
Norby's performance against right-handed pitchers has been particularly impressive, and with Cade Povich starting for the Blue Jays, Norby will look to capitalize on his favorable matchup. His ability to hit singles and get on base makes the over 0.5 hits prop a strong consideration.
Opposing Analysis
Cade Povich, the starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, has had a challenging season with a 6.27 ERA and a 1-4 record. Povich has struggled with consistency, often finding himself in difficult situations against opposing batters. His high ERA indicates that he can be vulnerable, especially against hitters like Norby who excel against right-handed pitchers.
The Blue Jays' bullpen, though ranked 8th in ERA, has had its share of ups and downs. If Povich struggles early, the bullpen's performance will be crucial in containing the Orioles' offense. However, given Povich's season struggles, Norby has a good opportunity to exploit this matchup.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (TOR) | 1-4 | 6.27 | 24 |
| Bowden Francis (BAL) | 3-2 | 5.82 | 34 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have been a dominant force this season, largely due to their strong hitting lineup and solid pitching staff. They rank 6th in hits and 4th in runs, demonstrating their offensive prowess. Key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who leads the team with a .301 batting average, have been instrumental in their success.
On the pitching front, despite Povich's struggles, the Blue Jays have managed an 8th rank in ERA, thanks to strong performances from other pitchers and a reliable bullpen. Their fielding has also been solid, with only 51 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have had a mixed season, with their hitting and pitching showing inconsistencies. They rank 20th in batting average and 27th in ERA, indicating areas that need improvement. However, players like Anthony Santander, who leads the team with 29 home runs and 68 RBIs, have provided the necessary spark at times.
The Orioles' pitching staff, led by Bowden Francis for this game, has struggled with an ERA of 4.51. Their bullpen has been decent but will need to step up to support Francis against a potent Blue Jays lineup. Fielding has been a concern with 58 errors, ranking them 12th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | CF | Probable for Jul 29 |
| John Means | SP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | W5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L6-3 | L |
Prediction
Pick: Connor Norby Over 0.5 Hits (-150)
Given Connor Norby's consistent performance and favorable matchup against Cade Povich, the over 0.5 hits prop is a strong pick. Norby's ability to get on base and Povich's struggles on the mound make this a promising bet.
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