MLB Player Props Handicapping: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 7:49:17 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25
Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays are set for an electrifying showdown at the Rogers Centre on July 25th, 2025, at 3:07 p.m. EDT. This game marks the final clash of their current three-game series, which is currently tied at 1-1. Both teams are vying to claim the series win in what promises to be a closely contested matchup.
Toronto, with a home record of 23-27 and an overall record of 46-55, is looking to leverage their slight edge in hitting. The Blue Jays are formidable when they out-hit their opponents, boasting a 33-8 record in such games. However, they have struggled with consistency, as evidenced by their 5-5 record over the last 10 games, including a 5.61 ERA and being outscored by eight runs.
On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays, with a road record of 24-24 and an overall record of 51-51, have managed to hold their own. They have been particularly effective at preventing home runs, going 19-7 in games where they did not allow a homer. The Rays have a slightly better form heading into this game, with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, although they have a lower batting average of .211 and a more impressive 3.31 ERA, outscoring their opponents by one run.
Historically, the Rays have had the upper hand in this season's series against the Blue Jays, leading 5-4. The upcoming game will be pivotal for both teams as they aim to gain momentum in the highly competitive AL East division.
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Player Prop Odds
For this game, we are focusing on Ben Rortvedt's performance. Here are the prop odds available for him:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +460
- Batter Hits (0.5): Over -160
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +210
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +120
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +100
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +185
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Player Analysis
Ben Rortvedt has had a moderate season so far, contributing to the team both defensively and offensively. While his overall batting average may not be among the league leaders, his ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset, especially in critical game situations.
Rortvedt's prop odds for this game are intriguing, particularly the over on 0.5 hits at -160 and the over on 0.5 RBIs at +210. His recent form suggests he has the potential to deliver in clutch moments. Over the past 10 games, Rortvedt has shown flashes of brilliance, managing timely hits and driving in crucial runs. His ability to perform under pressure will be key against the Blue Jays' pitching staff.
Opposing Analysis
Toronto's starting pitcher, Chris Bassitt, has been relatively solid this season. With an 8-8 record, a 3.71 ERA, and 106 strikeouts over 114 innings pitched, Bassitt has demonstrated his capability to challenge hitters. However, his WHIP of 1.42 indicates that he does allow baserunners, which could be an opportunity for Rortvedt to capitalize on.
The Blue Jays' bullpen has been a mixed bag, with some relievers struggling to maintain consistency. This inconsistency could play into Rortvedt's favor, especially in the later innings when Toronto's relievers take over. If Rortvedt can be patient and work the count, he might get pitches he can handle, increasing his chances of hitting safely and driving in runs.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bradley (TB) | 5-4 | 2.63 | 1.05 | 75.1 | 53 | 90 | 26 | 10 |
| C. Bassitt (TOR) | 8-8 | 3.71 | 1.42 | 114.0 | 116 | 106 | 46 | 10 |
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Team Previews
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays are a resilient team that relies on strong pitching and timely hitting. They rank 27th in hits with 786 and 25th in runs with 410, but their batting average of .236 is respectable given their emphasis on pitching and defense. The Rays have a team ERA of 4.45 and have committed 57 errors, ranking them tied for 11th in the league.
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto's strengths lie in their explosive offense, although they have underperformed this season. They rank 26th in hits with 790 and 27th in runs with 400. Their batting average of .233 is also lower than expected. However, their bullpen, with 33 saves, is 4th in the league. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.21 and has committed 52 errors, ranking 17th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lovelady | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| W. Franco | SS | Wed, Jul 24 | Personal | Out for the season |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pearson | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Illness | Probable for Jul 25 |
Recent Games
Tampa Bay Rays
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ New York | L6-1 | 48-49 | Cole 3-1 | Eflin 5-7 | NaN | 47036 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ New York | W9-1 | 49-49 | Bradley 5-4 | Cortes 4-9 | NaN | 43173 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ New York | W6-4 | 50-49 | Cleavinger 6-2 | Stroman 7-5 | Fairbanks 18 | 45178 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ New York | L9-1 | 50-50 | Rodon 10-7 | Littell 3-7 | NaN | 40824 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Toronto | W4-2 | 51-50 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Toronto | L6-3 | 51-51 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32276 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L5-4 | 44-53 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L7-3 | 44-54 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W5-4 | 45-54 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L4-2 | 45-55 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W6-3 | 46-55 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32276 |
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Prediction
Considering Ben Rortvedt's recent form and the current state of the Blue Jays' pitching staff, the prop bet of over 0.5 hits at -160 seems like a solid choice. Rortvedt has shown the ability to get on base and has been a clutch performer in recent games. Given Bassitt's tendency to allow baserunners, Rortvedt has a good chance to notch a hit in this game.
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