MLB Player Props Handicapping: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25

MLB Player Props Handicapping: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25

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Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

On July 25, 2024, the Tampa Bay Rays will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto. The game is set to begin at 3:07 p.m. EDT. Both teams are tied 1-1 in their current series, adding an extra layer of excitement to this crucial matchup. The Blue Jays, who have a 23-27 record at home, are looking to pull ahead in this season series, which the Rays currently lead 5-4. The Rays have been solid on the road with a 24-24 record.

The Blue Jays will rely on the power of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who leads the team with 18 home runs and a slugging percentage of .488. George Springer has also been in fine form, going 12-for-41 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, and nine RBIs over the past 10 games. On the other hand, the Rays will look to Richard Palacios and Randy Arozarena for offensive support. Palacios has recorded eight doubles, a triple, and five home runs this season, while Arozarena is 11-for-36 with three doubles and four home runs over his last 10 games.

The Blue Jays come into this game with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, sporting a .263 batting average and a 5.61 ERA, during which they have been outscored by eight runs. The Rays, however, have been in slightly better form, going 6-4 with a .211 batting average and a 3.31 ERA, outscoring their opponents by one run.

Injuries could play a crucial role in this game. The Blue Jays will be without key players such as Bo Bichette (calf), Isiah Kiner-Falefa (knee), Jordan Romano (elbow), and Alek Manoah (elbow). The Rays also have significant absentees, including Ryan Pepiot (knee), Richard Lovelady (forearm), Jacob Waguespack (shoulder), Jeffrey Springs (elbow), Drew Rasmussen (elbow), and Shane McClanahan (forearm).

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Player Prop Odds

For Tampa Bay's Josh Lowe:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+340)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+280)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+310)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140)

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Player Analysis

Josh Lowe has been a crucial player for the Tampa Bay Rays this season. With his versatile hitting skills, Lowe has made a significant impact in several key games. Over the past 10 games, Lowe has been consistent at the plate, contributing with key hits and runs. His ability to get on base and his speed make him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. In terms of power, Lowe has shown the ability to drive the ball, making the over on doubles and total bases an enticing option.

Opposing Analysis

Chris Bassitt, the starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, has had a mixed season with an 8-8 record, a 3.71 ERA, and a 1.42 WHIP. While Bassitt has demonstrated the ability to strike out batters (106 Ks), he has also been prone to allowing hits and walks. The Rays' lineup, which includes power hitters like Randy Arozarena and consistent performers like Josh Lowe, will look to exploit any mistakes Bassitt makes.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
T. Bradley	5-4	2.63	1.05	75.1	53	90	26	10
C. Bassitt	8-8	3.71	1.42	114.0	116	106	46	10

Team Previews

The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays are both striving to climb up the AL East standings. The Rays have shown resilience, particularly on the road, and their pitching has been solid, boasting a team ERA of 4.45. The Blue Jays, despite some struggles, have a formidable lineup capable of explosive performances. Defensively, both teams have committed a fair number of errors, with the Rays at 57 and the Blue Jays at 52, indicating potential opportunities for offensive exploitation by both teams.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Pepiot	RP	Knee	15-Day IL
Richard Lovelady	RP	Forearm	15-Day IL
Jacob Waguespack	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Jeffrey Springs	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Drew Rasmussen	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Shane McClanahan	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL

Recent Games

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Tampa Bay Rays

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ New York	L 6-1	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	@ New York	W 9-1	Win
Sun, Jul 21	@ New York	W 6-4	Win
Mon, Jul 22	@ New York	L 9-1	Loss
Tue, Jul 23	@ Toronto	W 4-2	Win

Toronto Blue Jays

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Detroit	L 5-4	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	vs Detroit	L 7-3	Loss
Sun, Jul 21	vs Detroit	W 5-4	Win
Tue, Jul 23	vs Tampa Bay	L 4-2	Loss
Wed, Jul 24	vs Tampa Bay	W 6-3	Win

Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the performance of Josh Lowe, we predict the following:

Josh Lowe has been a consistent performer for the Rays, and with Chris Bassitt's tendency to allow hits, Lowe has a good chance of exceeding 1.5 total bases in this game. His ability to hit for power and get on base makes this a solid betting option.

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