MLB Player Props Handicapping: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:54:00 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28
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Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 28 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The Pirates, currently holding a 55-50 record, are having a solid season and are looking to build on their recent wins. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are sitting at a balanced 52-52 record and will be eager to break the deadlock and gain some momentum.
The Pirates' recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, but they have shown resilience, especially in close games. Their last five games saw them go 3-2, with notable wins against St. Louis. The Diamondbacks have had a similar journey, also going 3-2 in their last five, including a series win against Kansas City and a couple of tight games against the Cubs.
Historically, these teams have had competitive matchups, with games often decided by small margins. This game promises to be another closely contested affair, with both teams bringing their A-game to the field.
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Player Prop Odds
For Geraldo Perdomo, the player prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+270), Under 0.5 (-425)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+190), Under 0.5 (-270)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+135), Under 0.5 (-185)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (-105)
Player Analysis
Geraldo Perdomo has been a key player for the Diamondbacks this season. With a batting average of .236, he has managed to consistently get on base and contribute to the team's offensive efforts. Perdomo's ability to hit singles and advance runners has been crucial, especially in tight games. His recent form has been promising, with multiple hits in recent games, making him a player to watch out for in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
The Pirates' pitching staff has had its ups and downs this season. Yilber Diaz, the probable starting pitcher for this game, has an ERA of 5.40 and has struggled with consistency. Diaz has given up a fair number of hits and runs in his limited innings this season, which could play to Perdomo's advantage. The Pirates' bullpen also hasn't been the strongest, ranking 26th in ERA, which further increases the chances of Perdomo getting on base and possibly scoring runs.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 1.24 | 121.1 | 119 | 108 | 32 | 13 |
| Yilber Diaz (PIT) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 1.40 | 15.0 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates:
The Pirates have been strong offensively, ranking 8th in hits with 888 and 3rd in runs with 513. Their batting average of .253 is solid, making them a formidable lineup for any pitcher. However, their pitching has been a weak spot, with an ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th. The relief pitching and fielding have also been areas of concern, with 42 errors committed this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks:
The Diamondbacks have struggled offensively, with a batting average of .232 and ranking 25th in hits with 807. However, their pitching has been more reliable, with an ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th. Mitch Keller has been a standout, with a 10-5 record and a 3.34 ERA. The Diamondbacks' relief pitching has been decent, with 26 saves, ranking 14th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Sat, Jul 27 | Groin | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Jared Jones | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
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| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | 49-48 | Mlodzinski 2-3 | Alvarado 1-4 | NaN | 39530 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | 50-48 | Ortiz 5-2 | Sanchez 7-5 | NaN | 39114 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | 50-49 | Phillips 2-0 | Gonzales 1-1 | NaN | 38291 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W2-1 | 51-49 | Chapman 2-4 | King 3-2 | Bednar 18 | 18970 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L2-1 | 51-50 | Fernandez 1-2 | Skenes 6-1 | Helsley 33 | 32422 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W5-2 | 50-48 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W3-0 | 51-48 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | 51-49 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L10-4 | 51-50 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W6-2 | 52-50 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
Prediction
Given the current form and matchup, we predict that Geraldo Perdomo will have a significant impact in this game. With Yilber Diaz's inconsistency, it's likely that Perdomo will get on base multiple times. Therefore, our pick is for Geraldo Perdomo to hit Over 0.5 hits (-130).
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Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK
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