MLB Player Props Handicapping: Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels - 7/26

- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:49:08 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels - 7/26
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Game Summary
The Oakland Athletics face the Los Angeles Angels in a crucial game at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California, on July 26, 2024, at 9:38 p.m. EDT. The Athletics currently lead the series 1-0 after a tight 6-5 victory. Both teams are struggling in the AL West with the Athletics at 42-63 and the Angels at 45-58, standing fifth and fourth in their division, respectively.
Los Angeles has a subpar home record of 22-30 and an overall batting average of .235, ranking ninth in the AL. Oakland, on the other hand, has had difficulties on the road with a 16-36 away record but has shown power with 135 total home runs, placing them third in the AL.
The season series has been competitive, with the Athletics holding a 6-4 edge over the Angels. Both teams have shown recent improvement, each going 7-3 in their last ten games. The Athletics have outscored their opponents by 30 runs in this stretch, while the Angels have a more modest differential, being outscored by four runs.
Key players for the Angels include Taylor Ward, who has 18 doubles, 14 home runs, and 45 RBIs, and Willie Calhoun, who has struggled lately, going 5-for-31 with a double and two home runs in the last ten games. For the Athletics, J.J. Bleday has been solid with 30 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs, and 36 RBIs, while Lawrence Butler is hot, going 19-for-37 with five doubles, two triples, and six home runs over the last ten games.
Injuries could play a significant role in this matchup. The Angels are missing key players like Mike Trout (10-Day IL, meniscus), and several pitchers including Patrick Sandoval (60-Day IL, elbow). The Athletics also have their share of injuries, with players like Mason Miller (15-Day IL, hand) and Luis Medina (15-Day IL, elbow) sidelined.
The pitching matchup features Paul Blackburn for the Athletics and Carson Fulmer for the Angels. Both pitchers have had their struggles but will look to give their teams a fighting chance in this installment of the season series.
Player Prop Odds
For Mickey Moniak, here are the player prop odds:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-155)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+170)
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Player Analysis
Mickey Moniak has been a consistent force for the Los Angeles Angels this season. He has shown an ability to make contact and get on base, which is reflected in his prop odds. Moniak's over/under for hits is set at 0.5, with the over being favored at -155. This suggests a high probability that Moniak will notch at least one hit in the game.
Moniak's RBI odds are set at +190 for over 0.5, indicating a lower probability but a higher payout if he manages to drive in a run. Similarly, his odds for runs scored are +130 for over 0.5, suggesting a decent chance that he will cross the plate at least once.
Moniak's ability to hit singles is also highlighted, with a +120 odds to get at least one single in the game. Lastly, his total bases odds are +170 for over 1.5, indicating that if he can collect multiple hits or an extra-base hit, bettors can expect a good payout.
Opposing Analysis
Paul Blackburn will be taking the mound for the Oakland Athletics. Blackburn holds a 3-2 record with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 46 innings. He has allowed 40 hits, struck out 36, and walked 13 batters, giving up six home runs in the process.
Blackburn's statistics suggest that he is susceptible to giving up hits, which plays into Moniak's strengths. The Athletics' bullpen also ranks poorly in the league, which could provide Moniak with additional opportunities to succeed at the plate.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn (OAK) | 3-2 | 4.11 | 1.15 | 46.0 | 40 | 36 | 13 | 6 |
| Carson Fulmer (LAA) | 0-2 | 3.66 | 1.24 | 51.2 | 39 | 52 | 25 | 6 |
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Team Previews
Oakland Athletics
The Athletics have struggled this season, with a 42-63 overall record and a 16-36 road record. Offensively, they have managed to hit 135 home runs, ranking third in the AL, but their batting average is a low .235. Their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 4.63, placing them 29th in the league, and their fielding has been error-prone, with 52 errors to date.
Los Angeles Angels
The Angels have also faced challenges this season, with a 45-58 overall record and a 22-30 home record. Their team batting average is .232, ranking 27th in the league. The pitching staff has a collective ERA of 4.41, ranking 23rd, and their fielding has been even more problematic, with 64 errors, the fifth-most in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wantz | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Patrick Sandoval | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jose Cisnero | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Kelvin Caceres | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Lat | 60-Day IL |
| Mike Trout | CF | Wed, Jul 24 | Meniscus | 10-Day IL |
| Robert William Stephenson | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Mason Miller | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Hand | 15-Day IL |
| Jacob Wilson | SS | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Luis Medina | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Tyler Soderstrom | C | Thu, Jul 25 | Undisclosed | 10-Day IL |
| Dany Jimenez | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Oblique | 15-Day IL |
| Alex Wood | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Rotator Cuff | 60-Day IL |
| Esteury Ruiz | LF | Thu, Jul 25 | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Darell Hernaiz | IF | Thu, Jul 25 | Ankle | 60-Day IL |
| Ken Waldichuk | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Gott | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | W/L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Los Angeles | W13-3 | 38-61 | Sears 7-7 | Canning 3-10 | NaN | 11596 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Los Angeles | W8-2 | 39-61 | Spence 6-6 | Kochanowicz 0-2 | NaN | 14574 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Los Angeles | L8-5 | 39-62 | Garcia 4-1 | Erceg 2-3 | Estevez 18 | 10380 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Houston | W4-0 | 40-62 | Harris 2-3 | Arrighetti 4-8 | NaN | 4517 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Houston | W8-2 | 41-62 | Bido 2-1 | Bloss 0-1 | NaN | 5896 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Houston | L8-1 | 41-63 | Brown 9-6 | Sears 7-8 | NaN | 14978 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | @ Los Angeles | W6-5 | 42-63 | Stripling 2-9 | Rosenberg 0-1 | Ferguson 1 | 25752 |
Prediction
Given Mickey Moniak's recent form and the struggles of Paul Blackburn and the Athletics' bullpen, the value bet here is on Moniak to record over 0.5 hits at -155. His consistent ability to make contact and get on base aligns well with Blackburn's propensity to allow hits.
Pick: Over 0.5 hits (-155)
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