MLB Player Props Handicapping: Giants vs Dodgers 7/25
- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 11:34:59 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers 7/25
Photo Credit: © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The San Francisco Giants will clash with the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 25, 2025, at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The Dodgers lead the series 2-1 and are looking to close out this four-game series with another victory. The Dodgers, currently first in the NL West with a 61-42 record, boast a strong home record of 33-20. On the other hand, the Giants, placed fourth in the same division with a 49-54 record, have struggled on the road with a 21-32 record.
Recent matchups have favored the Dodgers, who have an 8-4 advantage in their season series against the Giants. Los Angeles has been particularly effective at home, winning 25 out of 31 games when they haven’t given up a home run. Meanwhile, the Giants have struggled significantly when allowing home runs, holding a 26-40 record in such instances.
The top performers for the Dodgers include Shohei Ohtani, who has racked up 26 doubles, four triples, and 30 home runs. Gavin Lux has also been exceptional recently, going 11-for-29 with three doubles, three home runs, and eight RBIs over the past 10 games. For the Giants, Matt Chapman leads with 25 doubles and 14 home runs, while Mike Yastrzemski has been on a hot streak, going 13-for-33 with three doubles, two triples, and a home run over the last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
For Nick Ahmed, the following player prop odds are available:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+240)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+195)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-165)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145)
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Player Analysis
Nick Ahmed has been a consistent performer for the Dodgers this season. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset in the lineup. Ahmed’s stats over the season show a decent average and a knack for getting key hits. His current form suggests he can deliver on the player prop odds set for this game.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Logan Webb, Ahmed will need to be at his best. Webb has a 7-8 record with a 3.59 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Although Webb has been solid, he has shown vulnerability, particularly against hitters who excel in clutch situations. Ahmed’s ability to perform under pressure could be crucial in this matchup.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 7-8 | 3.59 | 1.27 | 111 |
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | 0-0 | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
San Francisco Giants
The Giants have had a mixed season, with their record standing at 49-54. Offensively, the team ranks fifth in hits with 888 and second in runs scored with 510. Their batting average is .253, placing them sixth in the league. Despite these strengths, their pitching has been inconsistent, with an ERA of 3.75.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been formidable this season, boasting a 61-42 record. Their offense ranks 15th in hits (839) and runs scored (448). The team’s batting average is .242, placing them 16th in the league. However, their pitching has been a bit of a concern with a 4.41 ERA, ranking 24th in the league.
Team Injuries
San Francisco Giants
| Player | Position | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Winn | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jung Hoo Lee | OF | 60-Day IL (labrum) |
| Tom Murphy | C | 60-Day IL (head) |
| Alex Cobb | SP | 60-Day IL (hip) |
| Ethan Small | RP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Tristan Beck | RP | 60-Day IL (arm) |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player | Position | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Walker Buehler | SP | 15-Day IL (hip) |
| Michael Grove | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Mookie Betts | OF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | 60-Day IL (foot) |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Emmet Sheehan | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Clayton Kershaw | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
San Francisco Giants
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | 7-3 | L |
| @ Colorado | 4-3 | L |
| @ Colorado | 3-2 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | 3-2 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 5-2 | L |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 5-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, we predict that Nick Ahmed will have a solid performance. The Over 0.5 Doubles (+390) and Over 1.5 Hits (+240) offer great value. Considering Ahmed’s recent form and the vulnerabilities of Logan Webb, these prop bets are worth considering.
Pick: Over 0.5 Doubles (+390)
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