MLB Player Props Handicapping: Dodgers vs Astros 7/27
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:30:16 AM
MLB Player Props Handicapping: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros
Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-43, first in the NL West) are set to face off against the Houston Astros (54-49, first in the AL West) at Minute Maid Park in Houston on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Dodgers come into this matchup looking to halt a three-game road losing streak, while the Astros seek to maintain their solid home form, holding a 29-21 record at Minute Maid Park.
The Dodgers have performed impressively overall this season with a 28-23 road record. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by their 42-8 record in games where they've scored five or more runs. Key players such as Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani have been instrumental, with Freeman boasting 26 doubles, 16 home runs, and 67 RBIs, and Ohtani contributing five doubles, a triple, and three home runs in the past 10 games.
On the other hand, the Astros have been consistent at home and feature a potent lineup with a collective .321 on-base percentage, the 10th best in MLB. Alex Bregman and Jake Meyers have been standout performers, with Bregman hitting 20 doubles and 13 home runs, and Meyers adding three home runs in the last 10 games.
This game marks the second meeting between the Dodgers and Astros this season. Both teams are aiming to solidify their standing in their respective divisions as the regular season progresses.
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Player Prop Odds
For this game, key player props for Jose Altuve include:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+200)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-155)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+490)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-105)
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Player Analysis
Jose Altuve has been a cornerstone of the Astros' offense this season. Holding a .307 batting average, Altuve has consistently been one of the toughest outs in the AL. Over the past 10 games, Altuve has managed to maintain a solid form, contributing significantly to the Astros' recent performances.
Altuve's ability to get on base and set the stage for his teammates is critical, as evidenced by his 20 doubles and significant on-base percentage. His recent form has seen him hitting singles and doubles with regularity, making him a threat to any pitcher he faces.
Opposing Analysis
The Dodgers will be starting Justin Wrobleski, who holds a 0-1 record with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 14.1 innings pitched. Wrobleski has shown promise but has also struggled with consistency, allowing 13 hits and 6 walks in his limited outings.
The Dodgers' pitching staff, while generally strong, has shown vulnerabilities that Altuve can exploit. Given Wrobleski's tendency to allow base runners, Altuve's prop bet for over 1.5 total bases at -105 looks particularly enticing.
Pitching Probables
Here are the pitching probables for the game:
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski (LAD) | 0-1 | 4.40 | 13 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 9-5 | 2.75 | 105 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers: The Dodgers have been an offensive powerhouse this season, ranking 2nd in hits (927) and 2nd in batting average (.262). Their pitching staff has maintained a respectable 3.98 ERA, ranking 15th in the league. The Dodgers have also been solid defensively with only 43 errors, ranking 29th.
Houston Astros: The Astros have also excelled offensively, ranking 4th in hits (908) and 5th in batting average (.254). Their pitching staff boasts a 3.77 ERA, ranking 10th in MLB. The Astros' bullpen has been effective, securing 33 saves, the 4th best in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | OF | 10-Day IL (groin) |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Walker Buehler | SP | 15-Day IL (hip) |
| Michael Grove | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Mookie Betts | RF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | 60-Day IL (foot) |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Emmet Sheehan | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | 10-Day IL (shin) |
| Jose Urquidy | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Oliver Ortega | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Bennett Sousa | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Penn Murfee | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Luis Garcia | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Kendall Graveman | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Boston | W 4-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Boston | W 7-6 (F/11) | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Boston | W 9-6 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs San Francisco | W 3-2 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Francisco | W 5-2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Seattle | W 3-0 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Seattle | W 4-2 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Seattle | L 6-4 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Oakland | L 4-0 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Oakland | L 8-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given Jose Altuve's consistent performance and the vulnerabilities in Justin Wrobleski's pitching, the prop bet for Altuve to exceed 1.5 total bases at -105 offers great value. Altuve's ability to get on base and his recent form make this a strong bet.
Pick: Over 1.5 total bases (-105)
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