MLB Player Props Handicapping: Braves vs Mets 7/27

MLB Player Props Handicapping: Braves vs Mets 7/27

Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is set to start at 4:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they are vying for positions in the competitive NL East.

The Braves are currently third in the NL East with a record of 54-48 and are on a six-game losing streak. They have been struggling both at home and on the road, with a 24-27 record away from Truist Park. Key performances have come from Marcell Ozuna, who leads the team with a .308 batting average, and Travis d'Arnaud, who has been consistent in the last 10 games with two home runs and eight RBIs.

On the other hand, the New York Mets are second in the NL East with a 55-48 record. They have a stronger home record at 28-26 and have won seven of their last ten games. Francisco Lindor has been a standout performer, leading the team with 22 home runs and a slugging percentage of .480. The Mets have a slight edge in the season series, winning five of the eight games played against the Braves so far.

The Braves will be looking to end their losing streak and gain some momentum as they head deeper into the season. The Mets, however, will aim to extend their winning run and solidify their position in the standings.

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Player Prop Odds

For this game, we are focusing on Jose Iglesias of the Atlanta Braves. Here are the odds for his player props:

• Batter Doubles 0.5 Over: +350
• Batter Hits 1.5 Over: +230
• Batter RBIs 0.5 Over: +210
• Batter Runs Scored 0.5 Over: +125
• Batter Singles 0.5 Over: -165
• Batter Total Bases 1.5 Over: +135

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Player Analysis

Jose Iglesias has been in stellar form recently, going 17-for-37 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, and five RBIs over the past 10 games. His batting average over this period is an impressive .459, showcasing his ability to get on base and drive in runs. Iglesias' recent hot streak makes him a valuable asset for the Braves, especially during their current slump.

Iglesias has shown versatility at the plate, being able to hit for power as well as average. His ability to contribute in multiple facets of the game makes him a key player to watch in this matchup against the Mets.

Opposing Analysis

The New York Mets will be starting Tylor Megill, who has struggled this season with a 2-4 record and a 5.08 ERA. Megill's WHIP stands at 1.44, indicating that he has had trouble keeping runners off the bases. Over 39 innings pitched, he has allowed 37 hits and issued 19 walks while striking out 49 batters.

Given Megill's struggles, especially with control, Iglesias could capitalize on any mistakes made by the Mets' pitcher. The Braves' lineup, which includes powerful hitters like Marcell Ozuna and Travis d'Arnaud, could provide Iglesias with ample opportunities to drive in runs and score himself.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL)	3-5	4.62	1.16	50.2	49	49	10	7
Tylor Megill (NYM)	2-4	5.08	1.44	39.0	37	49	19	3

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: The Braves rank 5th in runs scored with 504 and 9th in hits with 884. Their team batting average is .249, ranking them 11th in the league. Marcell Ozuna leads the team with a .308 average and 29 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has recorded 28 saves, ranking them 9th in the league. Their team ERA stands at 4.15, placing them 21st overall.

Fielding: The Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking them 3rd in the league for fewest errors. This shows that their defense is generally reliable.

Starting Pitchers: With several injuries to key pitchers like Max Fried and Spencer Strider, the Braves' rotation has struggled. Spencer Schwellenbach will need to step up in this game.

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets have scored 428 runs, ranking 21st in the league. Their team batting average is .240, ranking them 18th overall. Francisco Lindor is a key player, leading the team with 22 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has recorded 26 saves, placing them 14th in the league. Their team ERA is an impressive 3.52, ranking 3rd overall.

Fielding: The Mets have committed 45 errors, ranking them 27th for fewest errors. This solid defense has been a key factor in their success.

Starting Pitchers: Tylor Megill needs to improve his control to give the Mets a chance to win. His high ERA and WHIP have been a concern for the team.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	OF	60-Day IL	Hamstring	Out
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL	Wrist	Out
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL	Forearm	Out
Spencer Strider	SP	60-Day IL	Elbow	Out

New York Mets

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Kodai Senga	SP	7/26	Calf	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Shintaro Fujinami	RP	7/26	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Dedniel Nunez	RP	7/26	Forearm	15-Day IL
Harrison Bader	CF	7/26	Ankle	Day-to-day

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
7/19	vs St. Louis	Postponed	Postponed
7/20	vs St. Louis	W 3-2 F/10	W
7/20	vs St. Louis	L 9-5	L
7/21	vs St. Louis	L 6-2	L
7/22	vs Cincinnati	L 4-1	L

New York Mets

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
7/19	@ Miami	L 6-4	L
7/20	@ Miami	W 1-0	W
7/21	@ Miami	L 4-2	L
7/22	@ Miami	W 6-4	W
7/23	@ New York	W 3-2	W

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Prediction

Based on Jose Iglesias' recent form and Tylor Megill's struggles on the mound, our prediction is for Iglesias to have a productive game. The prop bet on Iglesias to record over 0.5 RBIs at +210 odds seems like a good value bet. Additionally, considering Iglesias' current hitting streak, betting on him to get over 1.5 total bases at +135 odds is also a strong option.

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