MLB Player Props Handicapping: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26
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MLB Player Props Handicapping: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

MLB Player Props Handicapping: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

MLB Player Props Handicapping: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/26

Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the New York Mets on Friday, July 26, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. EDT at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Braves, currently holding a 54-47 record, are looking to break a five-game losing streak. They have a 24-26 record on the road and are fourth in the NL with 115 total home runs, averaging 1.1 per game.

On the other hand, the Mets, with a 27-26 home record and a 54-48 overall record, are coming off a 7-3 stretch in their last 10 games. They have shown significant prowess when scoring five or more runs, boasting a 37-15 record in such games. The season series between these two teams is tight, with the Mets leading 4-3.

The pitching matchup features Braves' Charlie Morton, who has a 5-5 record with a 3.92 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts, going against Mets' Kodai Senga, who will be making his debut. The Braves will be looking to their top performers, including Marcell Ozuna, who has 28 home runs and a .305 average, and Austin Riley, who has been hot over the past 10 games. For the Mets, Francisco Lindor has been a standout with 22 home runs and 27 doubles, while Jose Iglesias has been on fire, going 16-for-38 with two home runs in his last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

Francisco Lindor:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380)

Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)

Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400)

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+170)

Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-140)

Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)

Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+400)

Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)

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Player Analysis

Francisco Lindor has been a key player for the Mets this season, with 27 doubles and 22 home runs. His ability to contribute in multiple facets of the game makes him a valuable asset. Over the last 10 games, Lindor has been consistent, and his recent performance indicates that he is in good form heading into this matchup. With the Braves' current pitching struggles, Lindor is poised to have a significant impact on this game.

Opposing Analysis

Charlie Morton, the veteran right-hander for the Braves, has had an up-and-down season with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He has allowed 11 home runs in 103.1 innings pitched, which could be a factor against a power hitter like Lindor. The Braves' recent pitching woes (4.04 ERA in the last 10 games) could play into the Mets' hands, especially with Lindor's ability to hit for power and average.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher Team W-L ERA Strikeouts
Charlie Morton ATL 5-5 3.92 101
Kodai Senga NYM 0-0 N/A N/A

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves:

The Braves have had a roller-coaster season. Their hitting has been solid, ranking 9th in hits (876) and 6th in runs (496), with a team batting average of .249. Marcell Ozuna leads the team with 28 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Austin Riley has been a key contributor recently. However, their pitching has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.15, ranking 20th in the league. Their relief pitching has been a weak link, and their fielding has also been problematic, committing 70 errors, the third-most in the NL.

New York Mets:

The Mets' hitting has been average, with a team batting average of .240, ranking 17th in the league. Francisco Lindor has been a standout, with 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. Jose Iglesias has also been in good form. Their pitching has been one of their strengths, with a team ERA of 3.50, ranking 3rd in the league. Their relief pitching has been solid, and their fielding has been reliable, committing only 43 errors, one of the best records in the league.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Michael Harris II CF 60-Day IL (hamstring)
Ozzie Albies 2B 10-Day IL (wrist)
Max Fried SP 15-Day IL (forearm)
Ronald Acuna Jr RF 60-Day IL (knee)
Spencer Strider SP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Player Position Injury Status
Harrison Bader CF day-to-day (ankle)
Christian Scott RP 15-Day IL (elbow)
Starling Marte RF 10-Day IL (knee)
Shintaro Fujinami RP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kodai Senga SP 60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Date Opponent Score W/L
Thu, Jul 25 @ New York L 3-2 F/10 L
Wed, Jul 24 vs Cincinnati L 9-4 L
Mon, Jul 22 vs Cincinnati L 4-1 L
Sun, Jul 21 vs St. Louis L 6-2 L
Sat, Jul 20 vs St. Louis L 9-5 L
Date Opponent Score W/L
Thu, Jul 25 vs Atlanta W 3-2 F/10 W
Wed, Jul 24 @ New York W 12-3 W
Tue, Jul 23 @ New York W 3-2 W
Mon, Jul 22 @ Miami W 6-4 W
Sun, Jul 21 @ Miami L 4-2 L

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Prediction

Considering Francisco Lindor's recent form and the Braves' current pitching struggles,

we recommend betting on Francisco Lindor over 1.5 Total Bases at +120 odds. Lindor has been a consistent performer, and with Morton’s susceptibility to giving up home runs and extra-base hits, Lindor is likely to exceed this mark.

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